Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1703627 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 050.06₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 887.31₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 937.37₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +55.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 67%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 784.99₽ · profit at most −1 847.62₽ (at most -38.6%) · chance of profit at most 33%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1507.23 → 3964.01 ₽
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 380.08 → 820.97 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Classified
+1 050.06 ₽ +55.6% chance of profit 67%
expensive: AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) · 5 140.41 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 9× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+3 106.65 ₽ +47.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 50%
float out of reach
  • 8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+29 360.56 ₽ +27.7% chance of profit 64%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New) · 366 000.01 ₽ · chance 4.5%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 27% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0770
1 507.23 ₽
at 167.47
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 450 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0062
380.08 ₽
at 380.08
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 327 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 632.61 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 887.31 ₽ +1 050.06 (+55.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 33%
  • About break-even 33%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Crane Flight
Factory New
5 911.47 ₽ 33.33%
Steam AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)net 5140.41 you get 0.070000 sells 52 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 933.24 ₽ (you get 4 289.77)) · buy orders: 1552
at a loss
worst
P250 | Kintsugi
Factory New
1 976.03 ₽ 33.33%
Steam P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)net 1718.29 you get 0.070000 sells 33 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 015.75 ₽ (you get 1 752.82)) · buy orders: 3615
about break-even
P90 | Deathgaze
Factory New
2 246.42 ₽ 33.33%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)net 1953.41 you get 0.070000
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 192.66 ₽ (you get 1 906.66)) · buy orders: 1289
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