Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1703657 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +505.82₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 063.20₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 569.02₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +8.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 15 133.69₽ · profit at most −8 564.67₽ (at most -56.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) × 8 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4563.20 → 11818.69 ₽
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 2 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1500.00 → 3315.00 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → Covert
+505.82 ₽ +8.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) · 7 115.37 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 8× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+665.01 ₽ +75.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) · 1 610.50 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 9× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1683
4 563.20 ₽
at 570.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168399f′ (normalized) 0.168399wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 89 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 116 · from 607.32 ₽ (float 0.1621) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0763
1 500.00 ₽
at 750.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076399f′ (normalized) 0.076399wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 63) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 6 063.20 ₽ +505.82 (+8.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.120000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 2 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 50%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish
Minimal Wear
8 182.68 ₽ 50.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear)net 7115.37 you get 0.150000 sells 80 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 913.61 ₽ (you get 6 011.83)) · buy orders: 1670 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 358.15 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 875.17 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 5 206.30 ₽ listings: 65 on CS.Money: ~ 5 803.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 419.59 ₽ listings: 109
about break-even
worst
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector
Minimal Wear
6 926.07 ₽ 50.00%
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)net 6022.67 you get 0.120000 sells 94 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 814.16 ₽ (you get 5 925.35)) · buy orders: 1844 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 532.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 066.69 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 5 255.98 ₽ listings: 40 on CS.Money: ~ 5 789.63 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 372.48 ₽ listings: 70
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