Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1703984 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 343.14₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 599.04₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 942.18₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +24.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 14 116.68₽ · profit at most −7 174.50₽ (at most -50.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1012.72 → 2238.11 ₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4586.32 → 11878.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → Covert
+1 343.14 ₽ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 2 Covert → нож или перчатки
+40 665.86 ₽ +106.3% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 226 666.49 ₽ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
1 012.72 ₽
at 506.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075851f′ (normalized) 0.108359wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 202 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 855.21 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
4 586.32 ₽
at 573.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075851f′ (normalized) 0.075851wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs 5 599.04 ₽ +1 343.14 (+24.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 2 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
worst
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 50.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
in profit
best
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 50.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000 sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
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