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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +319.27₴

Invest 384.84₴

Average return 704.11₴

ROI +83.0%

Chance of profit 67%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 892.23₴ · profit at most −188.11₴ (at most -21.1%) · chance of profit at most 27%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 64.98 → 143.60 ₴

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 139.09 → 349.11 ₴

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 180.78 → 399.52 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection

+319.27 ₴ +83.0% chance of profit 67%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 1 599.95 ₴ · chance 27%

rare inputs

2× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
2× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

+1 155.24 ₴ +269.8% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+1 139.12 ₴ +274.4% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054

Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+418.90 ₴ +116.8% chance of profit 92%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 5 006.99 ₴ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+407.27 ₴ +109.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) · 3 189.53 ₴ · chance 6.7%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

+401.95 ₴ +54.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 5 006.99 ₴ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

64.98 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

139.09 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

180.78 ₴

at 90.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 384.84 ₴ +319.27 (+83.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

97.46 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

115.91 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

180.78 ₴

at 90.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 394.15 ₴ +269.38 (+68.3%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

32.49 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

139.09 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

271.17 ₴

at 90.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 442.74 ₴ +301.95 (+68.2%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

129.95 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

115.91 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

90.39 ₴

at 90.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 336.25 ₴ +286.70 (+85.3%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

227.41 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

8.53 ₴

at 8.53

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

46.36 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 282.31 ₴ +218.89 (+77.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

562.67 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

1 839.95 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

306.58 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

602.59 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

561.10 ₴ 6.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

145.43 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +192.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +253.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2018 Nuke Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1705421 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 298.45₴ · invest 313.09₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074118 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003603 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1704944 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 292.24₴ · invest 378.76₴
rare inputs

AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003505 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705576 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 261.83₴ · invest 521.52₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705111 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 256.80₴ · invest 410.38₴
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003828 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705423 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 252.38₴ · invest 510.02₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074639 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004059 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705225 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 250.32₴ · invest 509.45₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074059 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003551 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705331 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 247.33₴ · invest 476.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705214 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 247.14₴ · invest 478.80₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705195 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 247.03₴ · invest 523.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705148 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 245.43₴ · invest 407.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074515 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003951 instead of 0.003745
Craft 1705429 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 243.68₴ · invest 495.29₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074009 instead of 0.074280; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003508 instead of 0.003745

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build