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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +467.34₽

Invest 708.36₽

Average return 1 175.70₽

ROI +66.0%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 792.32₽ · profit at most −616.62₽ (at most -34.4%) · chance of profit at most 2%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) × 9 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 558.00 → 1467.54 ₽

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 150.36 → 324.78 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

+467.34 ₽ +66.0% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | POP AWP (Factory New) · 2 489.77 ₽ · chance 2.0%

outcome without sales

9× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
1× M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1621

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+2 173.92 ₽ +274.4% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+799.44 ₽ +116.8% chance of profit 92%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+777.23 ₽ +109.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) · 6 086.96 ₽ · chance 6.7%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 5 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+648.25 ₽ +110.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 6.7%

pricier variants exist

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
2× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+644.89 ₽ +98.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

558.00 ₽

at 62.00

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

150.36 ₽

at 150.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 708.36 ₽ +467.34 (+66.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −467 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

372.00 ₽

at 62.00

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

621.75 ₽

at 207.25

Steam

×1

AUG | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

277.28 ₽

at 277.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 271.03 ₽ +66.53 (+5.2%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

496.00 ₽

at 62.00

Steam

×1

AUG | Amber Fade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

198.57 ₽

at 198.57

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

207.25 ₽

at 207.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 901.82 ₽ +327.83 (+36.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

1 150.00 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

1 070.81 ₽ 30.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

1 649.21 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

2 863.23 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

1 468.98 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

1 994.84 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

1 885.56 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

1 339.77 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +178.76 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +360.60 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build