Crafts · The 2018 Inferno Collection
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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1704566 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +502.50₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 577.42₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 079.92₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +87.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 509.49₽ · profit at most −429.56₽ (at most -28.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) × 9 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 558.00 → 1467.54 ₽
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 19.42 → 41.95 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection
+502.50 ₽ +87.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) · 1 434.10 ₽ · chance 30%
pricier variants exist
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+2 173.92 ₽ +274.4% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+799.44 ₽ +116.8% chance of profit 92%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 4.0%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+777.23 ₽ +109.4% chance of profit 100%
expensive: Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) · 6 086.96 ₽ · chance 6.7%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 5 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+648.25 ₽ +110.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 6.7%
pricier variants exist
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 2× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+644.89 ₽ +98.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 4.0%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
Sawed-Off | Brake Light
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
558.00 ₽
at 62.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004144f′ (normalized) 0.051806wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 379 · good ≈ 19
Market history: no data yet
×1
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
19.42 ₽
at 19.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163617f′ (normalized) 0.233739wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 768 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 577.42 ₽ +502.50 (+87.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.042000, 0.017500, 0.070000, 0.049000, 0.049000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
AK-47 | Safety Net
Factory New
1 150.00 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)net 1000.00 you get 0.042000 sells 86 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 100.63 ₽ (you get 957.06)) · buy orders: 2961 sell on Market.CSGO: 862.42 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 945.64 · lots 69 on CSFloat: from 814.61 ₽ listings: 238 on CS.Money: ~ 851.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 839.45 ₽ listings: 561
in profit
MP7 | Fade
Factory New
1 070.81 ₽ 30.00%
pricier variants exist
Steam MP7 | Fade (Factory New)net 931.14 you get 0.017500 sells 193 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 070.03 ₽ (you get 930.46)) · buy orders: 10758 sell on Market.CSGO: 909.29 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 997.03 · lots 160 on CSFloat: from 824.03 ₽ listings: 940 on CS.Money: ~ 864.29 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 893.41 ₽ listings: 1024
in profit
best
P250 | Vino Primo
Factory New
1 649.21 ₽ 30.00%
Steam P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New)net 1434.10 you get 0.070000 sells 89 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 641.86 ₽ (you get 1 427.70)) · buy orders: 4584 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 413.01 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 549.36 · lots 224 on CSFloat: from 1 379.95 ₽ listings: 149 on CS.Money: ~ 1 337.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 293.44 ₽ listings: 834
in profit
AWP | Exothermic
Factory New
830.00 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Exothermic (Factory New)net 721.74 you get 0.049000The Harlequin Collection sells ≈422 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 849.14 ₽ (you get 738.38)) · buy orders: 7277 sell on Market.CSGO: 635.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 697.00 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 620.16 ₽ listings: 409 on CS.Money: ~ 746.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 662.99 ₽ listings: 422
in profit
worst
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
Factory New
788.13 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New)net 685.33 you get 0.049000The Harlequin Collection sells 388 a week sell now to a buy order: 777.42 ₽ (you get 676.01)) · buy orders: 10619 sell on Market.CSGO: 609.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 667.99 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 602.18 ₽ listings: 430 on CS.Money: ~ 734.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 635.58 ₽ listings: 134
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