Crafts · The 2018 Inferno Collection
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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1704580 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit · by float Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −43 314.39₽ by average prices it would be +2 059.70
Invest InvestBy market listings with the right float (nightly check). 51 105.17₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 7 790.78₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −84.8% market check 2026-10-06 05:08
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 12 018.36₽ · profit at most −5 122.98₽ (at most -42.6%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 118.00 → 254.88 ₽
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 311.58 → 704.17 ₽
AWP | PAW (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 4406.10 → 11059.31 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Horizon Collection
+2 059.70 ₽ +42.6% chance of profit 35%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 1× P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection
+2 628.21 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection
+2 510.39 ₽ +70.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection
+2 498.21 ₽ +59.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2188
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection
+2 479.91 ₽ +65.4% chance of profit 73%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 only The Horizon Collection
+2 464.21 ₽ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
P250 | Vino Primo
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
118.00 ₽
at 118.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163068f′ (normalized) 0.163068wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 331 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 111 · from 248.41 ₽ (float 0.1619) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Nova | Toy Soldier
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
311.58 ₽
at 103.86
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163068f′ (normalized) 0.163068wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 248 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 11 782.39 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 81) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
AWP | PAW
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
4 406.10 ₽
at 734.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003977f′ (normalized) 0.007954wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 487 · good ≈ 12
on the market with this float, usually ~13, new ~0.2 per day, cheapest usually 2 680.49 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 259 · from 2 680.24 ₽ (float 0.0023) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 4 835.68 ₽ +2 059.70 (+42.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 35%
  • Losing outcome 65%
at a loss
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
2 902.32 ₽ 30.00%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)net 2523.76 you get 0.049000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 905.05 ₽ (you get 2 526.13)) · buy orders: 3860 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 342.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 568.99 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 2 221.97 ₽ listings: 80 on CS.Money: ~ 2 209.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 186.00 ₽ listings: 116
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
20 602.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)net 17915.19 you get 0.070000The Horizon Collection sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 566.74 ₽ (you get 21 362.38)) · buy orders: 2139 sell on Market.CSGO: 21 190.75 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 23 235.48 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 18 649.49 ₽ listings: 58 on CS.Money: ~ 20 373.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 20 521.12 ₽ listings: 76
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
1 631.06 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)net 1418.31 you get 0.056000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 810.16 ₽ (you get 1 574.05)) · buy orders: 2047 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 561.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 711.73 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 1 481.03 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 1 463.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 471.61 ₽ listings: 72
at a loss
worst
Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo
Factory New
1 550.53 ₽ 5.00%
Steam Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Factory New)net 1348.29 you get 0.070000 sells ≈10 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 506.08 ₽ (you get 1 309.63)) · buy orders: 2803 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 184.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 298.44 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 1 188.93 ₽ listings: 89 on CS.Money: ~ 1 120.41 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 096.42 ₽ listings: 202
in profit
SG 553 | Integrale
Factory New
6 228.05 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New)net 5415.70 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 441.00 ₽ (you get 4 731.30)) · buy orders: 1206 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 383.13 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 806.07 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 4 343.72 ₽ listings: 93 on CS.Money: ~ 4 410.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 279.48 ₽ listings: 244
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