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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chop Shop Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +29.00$

Invest 144.32$

Average return 173.33$

ROI +20.1%

Chance of profit 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 356.48$ · profit at most −183.15$ (at most -51.4%) · chance of profit at most 25%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 5 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 10.07 → 24.87 $

MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) × 5 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 134.25 → 331.61 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −135 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chop Shop Collection

+29.00 $ +20.1% chance of profit 50%

expensive: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New) · 420.67 $ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −135 $

5× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
5× MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection

+25.74 $ +269.8% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 136.13 $ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection

+8.96 $ +54.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 111.55 $ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection

+7.52 $ +120.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 35.65 $ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection

+7.16 $ +148.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 35.65 $ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
4× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection

+7.14 $ +100.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 35.65 $ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
4× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

10.07 $

at 2.01

Steam

×5

MP7 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

134.25 $

at 26.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.32 $ +29.00 (+20.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Duelist

Factory New

483.77 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Bulldozer

Minimal Wear

268.51 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

12.54 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

40.99 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

14.00 $ 16.67%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Chop Shop Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 45 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1710210 · The Ancient Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 33.83$ · invest 156.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074186 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718951 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 32.48$ · invest 145.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −140 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074516 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718852 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 30.67$ · invest 138.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −133 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718824 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 29.98$ · invest 139.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −138 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718868 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 29.96$ · invest 139.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −134 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718931 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 29.83$ · invest 136.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −134 $ rare inputs

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718896 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 29.65$ · invest 137.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −134 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718910 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 29.43$ · invest 138.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −134 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718822 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 29.43$ · invest 137.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718855 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 29.35$ · invest 136.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075399 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718916 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 29.25$ · invest 137.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1714686 · The Boreal Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 28.99$ · invest 136.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077466 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1713507 · The Ascent Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 28.96$ · invest 139.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077466 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718902 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 28.93$ · invest 137.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074758 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718843 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 28.88$ · invest 138.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718866 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 28.83$ · invest 138.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077797 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718876 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 28.81$ · invest 135.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077992 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718848 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 28.79$ · invest 136.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718937 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 28.76$ · invest 139.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −138 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718836 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 28.69$ · invest 135.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077287 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1717129 · The CS20 Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 28.56$ · invest 137.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −136 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077580 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718905 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 28.49$ · invest 137.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077466 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718826 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 28.46$ · invest 136.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077162 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718928 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 28.44$ · invest 139.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718933 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 28.41$ · invest 136.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718850 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 28.38$ · invest 138.33$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078012 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1709385 · The Achroma Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 28.29$ · invest 138.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077744 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718907 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 28.28$ · invest 140.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −136 $ rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078235 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718912 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 28.22$ · invest 136.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718935 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 28.16$ · invest 137.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074752 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718914 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 28.16$ · invest 136.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078367 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1716238 · The Breakout Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 28.14$ · invest 137.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718832 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 28.12$ · invest 136.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −136 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075043 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718834 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 27.41$ · invest 138.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −136 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079180 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718857 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 27.37$ · invest 138.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −136 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079180 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718954 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 27.05$ · invest 145.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −140 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)
Craft 1718846 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 26.63$ · invest 138.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −137 $ rare inputs

P2000 | Sure Grip (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078842 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718874 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 26.55$ · invest 137.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −137 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077466 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1711818 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 26.47$ · invest 144.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −137 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079180 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718930 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 26.21$ · invest 149.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −142 $ rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074687 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718209 · The Cache Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 26.13$ · invest 219.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −220 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077466 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718949 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Train Collection · profit 26.03$ · invest 137.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −138 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076054 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718926 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 26.00$ · invest 138.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −138 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076054 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1712736 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Chop Shop Collection · profit 25.78$ · invest 166.11$
profit on prices without salesat least −163 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.076829
Craft 1718892 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 25.73$ · invest 149.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −146 $ rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of P250 | Exchanger (Factory New); MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077466 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chop Shop Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build