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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +508.42₽

Invest 484.28₽

Average return 992.70₽

ROI +105.0%

Chance of profit 76%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 189.88₽ · profit at most −197.19₽ (at most -16.6%) · chance of profit at most 13%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 4 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 176.96 → 418.51 ₽

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) × 6 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 307.32 → 771.37 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

+508.42 ₽ +105.0% chance of profit 76%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 13%

sells slowly

4× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0775
6× M249 | Spectre (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0066

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+2 211.96 ₽ +317.9% chance of profit 40%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× M249 | Spectre (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

+2 204.68 ₽ +269.8% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+810.79 ₽ +118.5% chance of profit 48%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× M249 | Spectre (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

+767.08 ₽ +54.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

+644.07 ₽ +120.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

176.96 ₽

at 44.24

Steam

×6

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

307.32 ₽

at 51.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 484.28 ₽ +508.42 (+105.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 24%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

1 073.81 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

3 511.39 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

1 199.31 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

358.08 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

952.00 ₽ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

836.95 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

609.94 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

329.15 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +341.60 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +420.64 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Chroma 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1705457 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 644.07₽ · invest 534.64₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705234 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 636.71₽ · invest 606.68₽
sells slowly

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 1705065 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 613.52₽ · invest 413.92₽
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705028 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 611.77₽ · invest 610.24₽
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705292 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 602.35₽ · invest 578.24₽
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079246 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705547 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 573.83₽ · invest 416.12₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076959 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705240 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 573.16₽ · invest 436.12₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074506 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705066 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 571.94₽ · invest 413.92₽
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078971 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705458 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 568.69₽ · invest 534.64₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705548 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 567.66₽ · invest 410.28₽
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1704943 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 565.53₽ · invest 557.44₽
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705127 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 565.15₽ · invest 695.54₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 1705398 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 564.18₽ · invest 506.28₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705306 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 562.88₽ · invest 688.58₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 1705399 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 559.50₽ · invest 522.25₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705540 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 549.53₽ · invest 449.60₽
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 1705401 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 531.37₽ · invest 538.22₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 1705459 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 509.20₽ · invest 580.76₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 1705402 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 503.22₽ · invest 512.29₽
Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074647 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705241 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 501.47₽ · invest 436.08₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074905 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705308 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 491.73₽ · invest 619.18₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705422 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 490.72₽ · invest 578.19₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075205 instead of 0.077567
Craft 1705491 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 490.52₽ · invest 537.50₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build