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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +468.38₽

Invest 777.50₽

Average return 1 245.88₽

ROI +60.2%

Chance of profit 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 775.73₽ · profit at most −529.85₽ (at most -29.8%) · chance of profit at most 23%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 176.96 → 418.51 ₽

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 517.50 → 1169.55 ₽

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 83.04 → 187.67 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

+468.38 ₽ +60.2% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 23%

sells slowly

4× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
3× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
3× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1629

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+2 205.90 ₽ +328.1% chance of profit 36%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+2 204.68 ₽ +269.8% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+767.08 ₽ +54.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+644.07 ₽ +120.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+637.82 ₽ +93.9% chance of profit 24%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

1× Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
5× MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

176.96 ₽

at 44.24

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

517.50 ₽

at 172.50

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

83.04 ₽

at 27.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 777.50 ₽ +468.38 (+60.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

1 073.81 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

3 511.39 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

1 199.31 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

186.19 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

209.03 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

501.67 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

205.27 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

281.84 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +272.83 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +360.32 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1704182 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 609.30₽ · invest 734.44₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074280 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003745 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705421 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 569.56₽ · invest 597.51₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074118 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003603 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1704944 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 557.71₽ · invest 722.84₽
rare inputs

AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003505 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705576 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 499.68₽ · invest 995.28₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705111 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 490.07₽ · invest 783.17₽
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003828 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705423 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 481.66₽ · invest 973.34₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074639 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004059 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705225 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 477.72₽ · invest 972.24₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074059 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003551 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705331 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 472.01₽ · invest 909.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705214 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 471.64₽ · invest 913.75₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705195 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 471.43₽ · invest 999.82₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003951
Craft 1705429 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 465.05₽ · invest 945.23₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074009 instead of 0.074515; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003508 instead of 0.003951

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build