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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2 943.36₸

Invest 2 704.22₸

Average return 5 647.58₸

ROI +108.8%

Chance of profit 47%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 347.23₸ · profit at most −699.65₸ (at most -11.0%) · chance of profit at most 23%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 1400.03 → 3514.07 ₸

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 909.83 → 1965.23 ₸

Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 72.42 → 156.42 ₸

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 321.95 → 711.50 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection

+2 943.37 ₸ +108.8% chance of profit 47%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 16 104.66 ₸ · chance 23%

rare inputs

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
1× Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
1 more

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

+11 628.29 ₸ +269.8% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 61 502.74 ₸ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+11 608.99 ₸ +326.0% chance of profit 36%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 61 502.74 ₸ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054

Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

+4 045.88 ₸ +54.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 50 398.87 ₸ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+3 930.06 ₸ +133.1% chance of profit 32%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 50 398.87 ₸ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651

Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

+3 397.06 ₸ +120.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 16 104.66 ₸ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1 400.03 ₸

at 233.34

Steam

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

909.83 ₸

at 909.83

Steam

×1

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

72.42 ₸

at 72.42

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

321.95 ₸

at 160.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 704.22 ₸ +2 943.36 (+108.8%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

933.35 ₸

at 233.34

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Runic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

429.07 ₸

at 85.81

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

160.97 ₸

at 160.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 523.40 ₸ +1 867.44 (+122.6%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1 166.69 ₸

at 233.34

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Runic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

257.44 ₸

at 85.81

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

321.95 ₸

at 160.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 746.08 ₸ +2 396.99 (+137.3%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

700.01 ₸

at 233.34

Steam

×1

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

72.42 ₸

at 72.42

Steam

×6

PP-Bizon | Runic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

514.88 ₸

at 85.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 287.32 ₸ +1 351.24 (+105.0%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 400.03 ₸

at 233.34

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 819.66 ₸

at 909.83

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Runic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

85.81 ₸

at 85.81

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

160.97 ₸

at 160.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 466.47 ₸ +2 933.39 (+84.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 23%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

5 663.67 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

18 520.37 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

3 085.98 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Minimal Wear

393.10 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

409.13 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

520.90 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

392.57 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

479.65 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 931.79 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 434.60 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build