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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +55 883.00₸

Invest 62 892.43₸

Average return 118 775.43₸

ROI +88.8%

Chance of profit 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 150 361.15₸ · profit at most −31 585.72₸ (at most -21.0%) · chance of profit at most 40%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2900.90 → 6265.95 ₸

Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 21097.48 → 52110.77 ₸

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 38894.05 → 91984.42 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −60 181 ₸

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

+55 882.99 ₸ +88.9% chance of profit 70%

expensive: M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New) · 215 572.46 ₸ · chance 40%

profit on prices without salesat least −60 181 ₸

1× Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
5× Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+8 863.94 ₸ +58.5% chance of profit 35%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 66 954.06 ₸ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

Variant 3 The Boreal Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+3 398.40 ₸ +34.1% chance of profit 95%

expensive: M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) · 17 683.27 ₸ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

1× AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
7× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
2× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+3 324.80 ₸ +32.8% chance of profit 95%

expensive: M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) · 17 683.27 ₸ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

1× AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
2× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620

Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+3 225.46 ₸ +16.7% chance of profit 45%

expensive: M4A4 | Falak (Minimal Wear) · 30 498.52 ₸ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
9× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656

Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

+70 072.88 ₸ +82.8% chance of profit 75%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 294 369.54 ₸ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −82 406 ₸

5× Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2 900.90 ₸

at 2 900.90

Steam

×5

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

21 097.48 ₸

at 4 219.50

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

38 894.05 ₸

at 9 723.51

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 62 892.43 ₸ +55 883.00 (+88.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −52 181 ₸

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

856.61 ₸

at 856.61

Steam

×6

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

25 316.97 ₸

at 4 219.50

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

29 170.53 ₸

at 9 723.51

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 55 344.12 ₸ +47 298.44 (+85.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −42 863 ₸

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

1 713.22 ₸

at 856.61

Steam

×6

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

25 316.97 ₸

at 4 219.50

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

19 447.02 ₸

at 9 723.51

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 46 477.22 ₸ +40 032.52 (+86.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −131 394 ₸

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

8 438.99 ₸

at 4 219.50

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

38 894.05 ₸

at 9 723.51

souvenirSteam

×4

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

84 964.82 ₸

at 21 241.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132 297.86 ₸ +51 008.96 (+38.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −148 868 ₸

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

4 219.50 ₸

at 4 219.50

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

38 894.05 ₸

at 9 723.51

souvenirSteam

×5

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

106 206.03 ₸

at 21 241.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 149 319.57 ₸ +50 120.07 (+33.6%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Master Piece

Factory New

247 908.35 ₸ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

114 369.27 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

10 392.04 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26 828.40 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53 804.79 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1716759 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 51 664.49₸ · invest 47 550.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −41 480 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear), Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear), Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163256 instead of 0.162688
Craft 1735465 · The Huntsman Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 50 858.01₸ · invest 61 083.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −56 310 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear), AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear), Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163973 instead of 0.162688
Craft 1738917 · The Overpass Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 49 536.27₸ · invest 54 147.21₸
profit on prices without salesat least −48 071 ₸ rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear), Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162184 instead of 0.162688

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build