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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +520.33₽

Invest 1 077.79₽

Average return 1 598.12₽

ROI +48.3%

Chance of profit 34%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 631.68₽ · profit at most −1 033.56₽ (at most -39.3%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 176.96 → 418.51 ₽

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 862.50 → 2130.38 ₽

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 38.33 → 82.79 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection

+520.33 ₽ +48.3% chance of profit 34%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 30%

sells slowly

4× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
5× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
1× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1621

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

+2 204.68 ₽ +269.8% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

+767.08 ₽ +54.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

+644.07 ₽ +120.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

+613.52 ₽ +148.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
4× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

+611.77 ₽ +100.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
4× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

176.96 ₽

at 44.24

Steam

×5

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

862.50 ₽

at 172.50

Steam

×1

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

38.33 ₽

at 38.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 077.79 ₽ +520.33 (+48.3%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

44.24 ₽

at 44.24

Steam

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

172.50 ₽

at 172.50

Steam

×7

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

268.31 ₽

at 38.33

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

106.39 ₽

at 106.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 591.44 ₽ +456.82 (+77.2%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

88.48 ₽

at 44.24

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

345.00 ₽

at 172.50

Steam

×5

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

191.65 ₽

at 38.33

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

106.39 ₽

at 106.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 731.52 ₽ +473.84 (+64.8%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

132.72 ₽

at 44.24

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

517.50 ₽

at 172.50

Steam

×3

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

114.99 ₽

at 38.33

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

106.39 ₽

at 106.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 871.60 ₽ +490.86 (+56.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

1 073.81 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

3 511.39 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

1 199.31 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

2 611.91 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

1 347.16 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

413.37 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

591.69 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

160.00 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +274.04 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +381.93 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build