Crafts · The 2018 Nuke Collection
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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1705523 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +550.14₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 831.62₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 381.76₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +66.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 940.95₽ · profit at most −559.20₽ (at most -28.8%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 265.44 → 666.25 ₽
P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 517.50 → 1169.55 ₽
XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 48.68 → 105.15 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection
+550.14 ₽ +66.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 3× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 1× XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+2 204.68 ₽ +269.8% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+767.08 ₽ +54.3% chance of profit 44%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+644.07 ₽ +120.5% chance of profit 53%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+613.52 ₽ +148.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 4× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+611.77 ₽ +100.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 4× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
P90 | Facility Negative
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
265.44 ₽
at 44.24
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074931f′ (normalized) 0.149862wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 428 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 84) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
P250 | Exchanger
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0043
517.50 ₽
at 172.50
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004315f′ (normalized) 0.008630wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 354 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 127 · from 1 188.08 ₽ (float 0.0041) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
XM1014 | Scumbria
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
48.68 ₽
at 48.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074931f′ (normalized) 0.074931wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 77 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 106) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 831.62 ₽ +550.14 (+66.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.099999900 result 0.050000, 0.070000, 0.100000, 0.090000, 0.100000, 0.062000, 0.090000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 60%
  • Losing outcome 40%
in profit
AUG | Random Access
Factory New
1 073.81 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AUG | Random Access (Factory New)net 933.75 you get 0.050000 sells 58 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 044.21 ₽ (you get 908.00)) · buy orders: 11587 sell on Market.CSGO: 911.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 999.19 · lots 41 on CSFloat: from 771.78 ₽ listings: 138 on CS.Money: ~ 794.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 888.27 ₽ listings: 152
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
Factory New
3 511.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)net 3053.38 you get 0.070000 sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 3 576.33 ₽ (you get 3 109.85)) · buy orders: 8821 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 985.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 273.80 · lots 101 on CSFloat: from 2 873.83 ₽ listings: 262 on CS.Money: ~ 3 044.29 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 033.15 ₽ listings: 289
at a loss
MAG-7 | Core Breach
Minimal Wear
585.09 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear)net 508.77 you get 0.100000 sells 44 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 464.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 509.64 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 468.55 ₽ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 463.41 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 481.40 ₽ listings: 63
at a loss
Galil AR | Stone Cold
Minimal Wear
548.67 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear)net 477.10 you get 0.090000The Shadow Collection sells 193 a week sell now to a buy order: 508.72 ₽ (you get 442.36)) · buy orders: 16003 sell on Market.CSGO: 428.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 469.95 · lots 36 on CSFloat: from 394.03 ₽ listings: 96 on CS.Money: ~ 497.67 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 406.02 ₽ listings: 89
at a loss
worst
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Minimal Wear
227.02 ₽ 2.50%
Steam M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)net 197.41 you get 0.100000The Shadow Collection sells 60 a week sell now to a buy order: 225.67 ₽ (you get 196.23)) · buy orders: 7581 sell on Market.CSGO: 193.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 212.27 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 233.85 ₽ listings: 15 on CS.Money: ~ 191.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 187.59 ₽ listings: 66
at a loss
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
466.76 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New)net 405.88 you get 0.062000The Shadow Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 506.81 ₽ (you get 440.70)) · buy orders: 4069 sell on Market.CSGO: 427.77 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 469.05 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 425.72 ₽ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 417.16 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 459.98 ₽ listings: 88
at a loss
P250 | Wingshot
Minimal Wear
274.92 ₽ 2.50%
Steam P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear)net 239.06 you get 0.090000The Shadow Collection sells 124 a week sell now to a buy order: 283.05 ₽ (you get 246.13)) · buy orders: 13838 sell on Market.CSGO: 205.29 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 225.10 · lots 75 on CSFloat: from 209.86 ₽ listings: 83 on CS.Money: ~ 221.00 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 213.29 ₽ listings: 133
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