Crafts · The 2018 Nuke Collection
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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1705645 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +511.84₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 939.77₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 451.61₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +54.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 32%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 174.56₽ · profit at most −722.95₽ (at most -33.2%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 265.44 → 666.25 ₽
P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 3 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 517.50 → 1169.55 ₽
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 156.83 → 338.75 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
+511.84 ₽ +54.5% chance of profit 32%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
  • 3× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+2 204.68 ₽ +269.8% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+767.08 ₽ +54.3% chance of profit 44%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+644.07 ₽ +120.5% chance of profit 53%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+613.52 ₽ +148.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 4× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+611.77 ₽ +100.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 4× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
P90 | Facility Negative
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0755
265.44 ₽
at 44.24
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075569f′ (normalized) 0.151139wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 428 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 84) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
P250 | Exchanger
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0048
517.50 ₽
at 172.50
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004873f′ (normalized) 0.009746wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 354 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 127 · from 1 188.08 ₽ (float 0.0041) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0755
156.83 ₽
at 156.83
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075569f′ (normalized) 0.063923wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 91 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 939.77 ₽ +511.84 (+54.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.099999900 result 0.050000, 0.070000, 0.100000, 0.095000, 0.040000, 0.030000, 0.050000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 32%
  • Losing outcome 38%
  • About break-even 30%
about break-even
AUG | Random Access
Factory New
1 073.81 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AUG | Random Access (Factory New)net 933.75 you get 0.050000 sells 58 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 044.21 ₽ (you get 908.00)) · buy orders: 11587 sell on Market.CSGO: 911.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 999.19 · lots 41 on CSFloat: from 771.78 ₽ listings: 138 on CS.Money: ~ 794.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 888.27 ₽ listings: 152
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
Factory New
3 511.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)net 3053.38 you get 0.070000 sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 3 576.33 ₽ (you get 3 109.85)) · buy orders: 8821 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 985.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 273.80 · lots 101 on CSFloat: from 2 873.83 ₽ listings: 262 on CS.Money: ~ 3 044.29 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 033.15 ₽ listings: 289
at a loss
worst
MAG-7 | Core Breach
Minimal Wear
585.09 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear)net 508.77 you get 0.100000 sells 44 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 464.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 509.64 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 468.55 ₽ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 463.41 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 481.40 ₽ listings: 63
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Marina
Minimal Wear
634.78 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear)net 551.98 you get 0.095000The Winter Offensive Collection sells 26 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 579.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 635.01 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 482.26 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 525.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 546.50 ₽ listings: 78
in profit
FAMAS | Pulse
Factory New
2 398.61 ₽ 2.50%
Steam FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New)net 2085.75 you get 0.040000The Winter Offensive Collection sells ≈22 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 333.22 ₽ (you get 2 028.88)) · buy orders: 6289 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 934.16 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 120.80 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 1 866.49 ₽ listings: 174 on CS.Money: ~ 1 926.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 921.31 ₽ listings: 181
at a loss
MP9 | Rose Iron
Factory New
940.73 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New)net 818.03 you get 0.030000The Winter Offensive Collection sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 808.98 ₽ (you get 703.46)) · buy orders: 2743 sell on Market.CSGO: 691.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 758.31 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 658.71 ₽ listings: 172 on CS.Money: ~ 681.84 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 657.85 ₽ listings: 195
at a loss
Nova | Rising Skull
Factory New
756.42 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)net 657.76 you get 0.050000The Winter Offensive Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 753.52 ₽ (you get 655.23)) · buy orders: 1169 sell on Market.CSGO: 601.19 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 659.21 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 537.08 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 605.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 53
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