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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +465.98₽

Invest 1 039.78₽

Average return 1 505.76₽

ROI +44.8%

Chance of profit 34%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 390.58₽ · profit at most −884.82₽ (at most -37.0%) · chance of profit at most 34%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 265.44 → 666.25 ₽

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 3 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 517.50 → 1169.55 ₽

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 256.84 → 554.77 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+465.98 ₽ +44.8% chance of profit 34%

expensive: Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) · 3 337.19 ₽ · chance 2.0%

rare inputs

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0782
3× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0072
1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0872

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+2 204.68 ₽ +269.8% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+767.08 ₽ +54.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+644.07 ₽ +120.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+613.52 ₽ +148.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
4× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+611.77 ₽ +100.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
4× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

265.44 ₽

at 44.24

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

517.50 ₽

at 172.50

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0872

256.84 ₽

at 256.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 039.78 ₽ +465.98 (+44.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 66%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

1 073.81 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

3 511.39 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

585.09 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

438.61 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

3 373.50 ₽ 2.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

3 837.77 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

1 060.53 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

316.64 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +191.67 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +332.40 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1705640 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 501.37₽ · invest 908.06₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.078275; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.007241
Craft 1705628 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 487.40₽ · invest 952.50₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076064 instead of 0.078275; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.005306 instead of 0.007241

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build