Crafts · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1705962 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 921.62₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 26 066.93₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 29 988.55₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +15.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 68 493.10₽ · profit at most −38 504.55₽ (at most -56.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 25933.05 → 68203.92 ₽
Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 133.88 → 289.18 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 929 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 929 ₽: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New), UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection
+3 921.62 ₽ +15.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) · 47 060.23 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 929 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
  • 1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 524.85 ₽ +207.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 231.06 ₽ +46.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 758.99 ₽ +65.4% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 639.32 ₽ +72.3% chance of profit 73%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 60%
rare inputs
  • 4× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 351.69 ₽ +46.2% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 35%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0083
  • 7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0794

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0766
25 933.05 ₽
at 2 881.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076609f′ (normalized) 0.076609wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 106) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Negev | Lionfish
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0057
133.88 ₽
at 133.88
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005783f′ (normalized) 0.010514wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 163 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 179.99 ₽ · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 172) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 26 066.93 ₽ +3 921.62 (+15.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.005600, 0.044100, 0.044800, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
SSG 08 | Death Strike
Factory New
54 119.27 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)net 47060.23 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 36 224.25 ₽ (you get 31 499.34)) · buy orders: 391 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 876.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 38 241.42 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 27 351.49 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 26 510.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 26 802.43 ₽ listings: 28
at a loss
UMP-45 | Fade
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 678.44 ₽ (you get 17 111.68)) · buy orders: 757 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 328.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 19 000.00 · lots 19 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 15 338.80 ₽ listings: 44 on CS.Money: ~ 15 740.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 329.38 ₽ listings: 51
at a loss
worst
AUG | Stymphalian
Factory New
963.93 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New)net 838.20 you get 0.044100The Clutch Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 786.03 ₽ (you get 683.50)) · buy orders: 3816 sell on Market.CSGO: 659.75 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 723.42 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 590.18 ₽ listings: 142 on CS.Money: ~ 616.74 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 632.16 ₽ listings: 121
at a loss
AWP | Mortis
Factory New
1 150.00 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AWP | Mortis (Factory New)net 1000.00 you get 0.044800The Clutch Collection sells 104 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 068.12 ₽ (you get 928.80)) · buy orders: 10821 sell on Market.CSGO: 949.72 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 041.37 · lots 75 on CSFloat: from 852.30 ₽ listings: 262 on CS.Money: ~ 848.87 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 868.57 ₽ listings: 426
at a loss
USP-S | Cortex
Factory New
2 654.37 ₽ 3.33%
Steam USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)net 2308.15 you get 0.070000The Clutch Collection sells 36 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 543.60 ₽ (you get 2 211.82)) · buy orders: 11225 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 178.52 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 388.73 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 1 968.42 ₽ listings: 143 on CS.Money: ~ 2 186.85 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 089.20 ₽ listings: 318
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