The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+ The eSports 2013 Collection
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 1706504 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+51 902.75₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».155 151.28₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.207 054.03₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+33.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.70%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 382 055.88₸
· profit at most −175 001.79₸
(at most -45.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) × 65% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.51104297.07 → 261785.66 ₸
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 45% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.3750854.21 → 120270.20 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −155 151 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −155 151 ₸: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New), AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New), AWP | BOOM (Factory New), UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −155 151 ₸rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
profit on prices without salesat least −129 541 ₸rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
profit on prices without salesat least −152 581 ₸rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0740
profit on prices without salesat least −140 418 ₸rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0745
3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0745
6× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0040
profit on prices without salesat least −211 846 ₸rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0744
4× P250 | Splash (Factory New)buy0.0600–0.0605
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0036
(3% of this wear's listings)
104 297.07 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003620f′ (normalized) 0.009785wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 88 122.69 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0741
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
50 854.21 ₸
at 12 713.55
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074137f′ (normalized) 0.019105wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs155 151.28 ₸
+51 902.75
(+33.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.010811, 0.001081, 0.070000, 0.062973«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −169 159 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×9
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0047
(3% of this wear's listings)
156 445.61 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004701f′ (normalized) 0.012706wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 88 122.69 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0753
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
12 713.55 ₸
at 12 713.55
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075373f′ (normalized) 0.020774wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs169 159.16 ₸
+13 805.82
(+8.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.010811, 0.001081, 0.070000, 0.062973«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −216 515 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0044
(3% of this wear's listings)
17 382.85 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004449f′ (normalized) 0.012024wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 88 122.69 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0750
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
63 567.76 ₸
at 12 713.55
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075084f′ (normalized) 0.020384wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
P250 | Splash
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0606
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
135 564.38 ₸
at 33 891.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060635f′ (normalized) 0.005296wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 8 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs216 514.99 ₸
+30 687.50
(+14.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.070000, 0.062973, 0.010811, 0.001081«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −164 490 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×8
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0043
(3% of this wear's listings)
139 062.77 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004374f′ (normalized) 0.011824wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 88 122.69 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×2
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
25 427.10 ₸
at 12 713.55
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074999f′ (normalized) 0.020270wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs164 489.87 ₸
+26 504.76
(+16.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.010811, 0.001081, 0.070000, 0.062973«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −188 168 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(3% of this wear's listings)
69 531.38 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004185f′ (normalized) 0.011313wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 88 122.69 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
50 854.21 ₸
at 12 713.55
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074783f′ (normalized) 0.019978wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
P250 | Splash
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
67 782.19 ₸
at 33 891.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060597f′ (normalized) 0.004983wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 8 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs188 167.78 ₸
+34 945.65
(+18.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.070000, 0.062973, 0.010811, 0.001081«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%
in profit
SSG 08 | Death Strike
Factory New
285 445.04 ₸30.00%
price without deals
SteamSSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)net 248213.05you get 0.010811
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 191 060.09 ₸
(you get 166 139.17)) · buy orders: 391
at a loss
worst
UMP-45 | Fade
Factory New
116 906.09 ₸30.00%
price without dealspricier variants exist
SteamUMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)net 101657.46you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 103 791.37 ₸
(you get 90 253.33)) · buy orders: 757
in profit
best
AK-47 | Red Laminate
Factory New
338 524.98 ₸20.00%
price without deals
SteamAK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New)net 294369.54you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 247 663.94 ₸
(you get 215 359.90)) · buy orders: 597
sell now to a buy order: 167 214.13 ₸
(you get 145 403.56)) · buy orders: 560
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+22 203.88 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+44 016.30 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
profit on prices without salesat least −84 742 ₸rare inputs
P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074137
Craft 1739404
· The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 51 348.17₸
· invest 66 107.37₸
profit on prices without salesat least −50 745 ₸rare inputs
USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074218 instead of 0.074137
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
