Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706599 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +107.14$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 267.56$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 374.70$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +40.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 638.62$ · profit at most −263.92$ (at most -41.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 143.45 → 360.07 $
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 104.80 → 236.84 $
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 19.31 → 41.71 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −264 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −264 $: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection
+107.14 $ +40.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 579.10 $ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −264 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 1× Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+6.76 $ +23.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) · 79.64 $ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
Variant 3 The Arabesque Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+6.22 $ +12.7% chance of profit 55%
expensive: FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) · 79.64 $ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 7× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+158.57 $ +64.4% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 651.56 $ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −246 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Anubis Collection
+145.05 $ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 651.56 $ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −322 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Anubis Collection
+136.41 $ +46.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 579.10 $ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −296 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1706

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1633
143.45 $
at 23.91
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163351f′ (normalized) 0.139664wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 39.83 $ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
104.80 $
at 34.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004063f′ (normalized) 0.010982wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 87 · from 53.17 $ (float 0.0012) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Nova | Sobek's Bite
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
19.31 $
at 19.31
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004063f′ (normalized) 0.004063wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 63) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 267.56 $ +107.14 (+40.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.061250, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
665.97 $ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 579.10 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 435.28 $ (you get 378.51)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 404.53 $ to your card cheapest lot 443.57 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 344.99 $ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 393.78 $ on Lis-Skins: from 362.92 $ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
258.76 $ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 225.01 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 220.61 $ (you get 191.84)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 188.77 $ to your card cheapest lot 206.99 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 168.08 $ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 197.10 $ on Lis-Skins: from 187.65 $ listings: 33
at a loss
FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys
Factory New
215.00 $ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Factory New)net 186.95 you get 0.061250The Anubis Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 168.23 $ (you get 146.29)) · buy orders: 3797 sell on Market.CSGO: 144.89 $ to your card cheapest lot 158.87 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 133.00 $ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 149.40 $ on Lis-Skins: from 138.45 $ listings: 78
at a loss
worst
P250 | Apep's Curse
Minimal Wear
80.50 $ 5.00%
Steam P250 | Apep's Curse (Minimal Wear)net 70.00 you get 0.087500The Anubis Collection sells 2 a week no buy orders
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