Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706754 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 893.79₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 289.72₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 183.51₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 56 623.16₽ · profit at most −25 439.64₽ (at most -44.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 136.42 → 294.67 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 213 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 213 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection
+7 893.79 ₽ +33.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 213 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1653
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 1× UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2566
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 082.55 ₽ +47.4% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2553
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 005.90 ₽ +54.8% chance of profit 23%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 23%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным.
  • 3× UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2558
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 4× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 793.23 ₽ +66.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2551
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 445.42 ₽ +42.5% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 80%
  • 2× UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2561
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 281.37 ₽ +72.4% chance of profit 60%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 27%
rare inputs
  • 2× UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2553
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1653
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165398f′ (normalized) 0.142430wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004686f′ (normalized) 0.012665wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
UMP-45 | Grand Prix
Field-Tested
buy 0.2500–0.2566
136.42 ₽
at 136.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.256694f′ (normalized) 0.066948wear 0.2500–0.3500on the market 307 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~6, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 885.39 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 23 289.72 ₽ +7 893.79 (+33.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.156000, 0.152500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
FAMAS | Djinn
Factory New
3 855.58 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)net 3352.68 you get 0.070000The Chroma 2 Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 195.75 ₽ (you get 2 778.91)) · buy orders: 967 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 700.32 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 960.88 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 2 810.44 ₽ listings: 47 on CS.Money: ~ 5 254.27 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 588.59 ₽ listings: 130
at a loss
worst
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business
Field-Tested
1 290.00 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)net 1121.74 you get 0.156000The Chroma 2 Collection sells 326 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 245.98 ₽ (you get 1 083.46)) · buy orders: 35870 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 022.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 121.47 · lots 232 on CSFloat: from 951.66 ₽ listings: 497 on CS.Money: ~ 1 023.61 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 983.36 ₽ listings: 335
at a loss
Galil AR | Eco
Field-Tested
1 341.76 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)net 1166.75 you get 0.152500The Chroma 2 Collection sells 301 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 995.90 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 092.00 · lots 85 on CSFloat: from 997.92 ₽ listings: 563 on CS.Money: ~ 1 075.87 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 034.75 ₽ listings: 419
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