Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706772 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +5 022.40₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 11 405.04₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 427.44₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +44.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 27 358.86₴ · profit at most −10 931.41₴ (at most -40.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 6438.84 → 16161.48 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 4703.78 → 10630.54 ₴
Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 262.43 → 566.84 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 304 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 304 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma Collection
+5 022.40 ₴ +44.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 304 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1629
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 217.84 ₴ +50.7% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 090.37 ₴ +40.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+957.00 ₴ +63.0% chance of profit 37%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+768.53 ₴ +37.4% chance of profit 97%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+646.30 ₴ +57.9% chance of profit 37%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 3 557.00 ₴ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 2× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1629
6 438.84 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162988f′ (normalized) 0.139173wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 1 787.74 ₴ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
4 703.78 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003953f′ (normalized) 0.010683wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 87 · from 2 386.50 ₴ (float 0.0012) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Sawed-Off | Serenity
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
262.43 ₴
at 262.43
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003953f′ (normalized) 0.007906wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 70) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 11 405.04 ₴ +5 022.40 (+44.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.065625, 0.065625, 0.052500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 157.27 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 19 909.29 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 15 484.64 ₴ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 17 674.55 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 16 289.42 ₴ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 473.02 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 290.59 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 7 544.16 ₴ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 8 846.70 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 422.55 ₴ listings: 33
at a loss
AK-47 | Cartel
Factory New
2 514.24 ₴ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New)net 2186.30 you get 0.065625The Chroma Collection sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 466.23 ₴ (you get 2 144.55)) · buy orders: 3319 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 044.60 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 241.89 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 1 930.03 ₴ listings: 142 on CS.Money: ~ 2 098.79 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 939.45 ₴ listings: 267
at a loss
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
Factory New
2 942.38 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)net 2558.59 you get 0.065625The Chroma Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 935.73 ₴ (you get 2 552.80)) · buy orders: 1956 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 218.77 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 432.87 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 2 147.26 ₴ listings: 174 on CS.Money: ~ 2 272.04 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 212.80 ₴ listings: 217
at a loss
worst
P250 | Muertos
Factory New
960.60 ₴ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Muertos (Factory New)net 835.30 you get 0.052500The Chroma Collection sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 964.55 ₴ (you get 838.74)) · buy orders: 3021 sell on Market.CSGO: 778.71 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 853.85 · lots 44 on CSFloat: from 747.33 ₴ listings: 170 on CS.Money: ~ 822.73 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 816.45 ₴ listings: 203
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