Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706860 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 163.46₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 12 183.81₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 347.26₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 29 627.28₴ · profit at most −13 280.02₴ (at most -44.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 4292.56 → 10151.90 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 7839.63 → 19363.89 ₴
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 51.62 → 111.50 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 113 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 113 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection
+4 163.45 ₴ +34.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 113 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1668
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1668
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 189.77 ₴ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 145.55 ₴ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+958.36 ₴ +68.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+891.82 ₴ +97.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 40%
sells slowly
  • 6× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+861.82 ₴ +45.7% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Starcade (Factory New) · 9 329.37 ₴ · chance 15%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 3× CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1668
4 292.56 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166892f′ (normalized) 0.144448wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0051
7 839.63 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005141f′ (normalized) 0.013894wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1668
51.62 ₴
at 51.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166892f′ (normalized) 0.052729wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 346.86 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 12 183.81 ₴ +4 163.46 (+34.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.022400, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445
at a loss
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Factory New
1 208.15 ₴ 3.33%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)net 1050.57 you get 0.070000The Falchion Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.85 ₴ (you get 964.22)) · buy orders: 693
at a loss
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
1 250.12 ₴ 3.33%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 1087.06 you get 0.022400The Falchion Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 247.15 ₴ (you get 1 084.47)) · buy orders: 2273
at a loss
worst
SG 553 | Cyrex
Factory New
1 192.56 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)net 1037.00 you get 0.070000The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 182.01 ₴ (you get 1 027.83)) · buy orders: 1006
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