Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1706899 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 278.08₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 034.70₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 312.78₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +220.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 46%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 537.90₽ · profit at most +774.87₽ (at most +30.5%) · chance of profit at most 46%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M249 | Humidor (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 390.12 → 842.66 ₽
XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 644.58 → 1695.25 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −180 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −180 ₽: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New), Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New), AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection
+2 278.08 ₽ +220.2% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −180 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Humidor (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 2 only The Gamma 2 Collection
+2 455.01 ₽ +342.8% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 10× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 264.35 ₽ +271.8% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 1× G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 237.17 ₽ +320.6% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 234.58 ₽ +314.3% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 221.04 ₽ +304.3% chance of profit 44%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M249 | Humidor
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0053
390.12 ₽
at 390.12
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005319f′ (normalized) 0.010638wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 36 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×9
XM1014 | Slipstream
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0053
644.58 ₽
at 71.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005319f′ (normalized) 0.010638wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 263 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 576.42 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 034.70 ₽ +2 278.08 (+220.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.070000, 0.010638, 0.004681, 0.010638, 0.010638, 0.005319, 0.067872, 0.003936 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 46%
  • Losing outcome 54%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Directive
Factory New
13 409.78 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New)net 11660.68 you get 0.070000The Gamma 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 296.56 ₽ (you get 8 083.96)) · buy orders: 4014 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 311.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 499.11 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 7 450.54 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 7 928.52 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 698.95 ₽ listings: 47
in profit
Glock-18 | Weasel
Factory New
3 901.58 ₽ 18.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New)net 3392.68 you get 0.010638The Gamma 2 Collection sells ≈98 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 3 825.01 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 194.10 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 3 252.44 ₽ listings: 53 on CS.Money: ~ 3 529.97 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 206.18 ₽ listings: 64
at a loss
worst
MAG-7 | Petroglyph
Factory New
138.60 ₽ 18.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New)net 120.52 you get 0.004681The Gamma 2 Collection sells 75 a week sell now to a buy order: 217.07 ₽ (you get 188.75)) · buy orders: 6607 sell on Market.CSGO: 181.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 198.87 · lots 20 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 172.17 ₽ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 169.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 178.17 ₽ listings: 144
at a loss
SCAR-20 | Powercore
Factory New
370.01 ₽ 18.00%
Steam SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New)net 321.75 you get 0.010638The Gamma 2 Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 327.03 ₽ (you get 284.37)) · buy orders: 4679 sell on Market.CSGO: 278.71 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 305.61 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 293.81 ₽ listings: 64 on CS.Money: ~ 273.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 274.96 ₽ listings: 56
at a loss
SG 553 | Triarch
Factory New
414.51 ₽ 18.00%
Steam SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New)net 360.44 you get 0.010638The Gamma 2 Collection sells 18 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 341.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 374.44 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 334.07 ₽ listings: 123 on CS.Money: ~ 347.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 342.63 ₽ listings: 121
in profit
AUG | Sand Storm
Factory New
3 598.72 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)net 3129.32 you get 0.005319
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 197.66 ₽ (you get 2 780.57)) · buy orders: 5036 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 736.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 000.00 · lots 21 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 2 484.09 ₽ listings: 37 on CS.Money: ~ 2 618.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 744.49 ₽ listings: 57
in profit
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Factory New
8 797.58 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)net 7650.07 you get 0.067872
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 759.88 ₽ (you get 6 747.72)) · buy orders: 1121 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 840.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 500.00 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 6 122.84 ₽ listings: 36 on CS.Money: ~ 6 050.89 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 003.78 ₽ listings: 34
in profit
XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
3 428.39 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New)net 2981.21 you get 0.003936 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 950.00 ₽ (you get 2 565.21)) · buy orders: 1152 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 497.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 738.81 · lots 11 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 2 395.00 ₽ listings: 24 on CS.Money: ~ 2 604.01 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 480.66 ₽ listings: 45
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