Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Mirage Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1707047 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +15 980.54₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 465.18₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 26 445.72₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +152.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 26 600.09₴ · profit at most −154.36₴ (at most -0.6%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M249 | Humidor (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 204.42 → 441.55 ₴
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 969.39 → 2093.88 ₴
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 9291.38 → 24064.66 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −10 413 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −10 413 ₴: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New), AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Mirage Collection
+15 980.54 ₴ +152.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 413 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Humidor (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+244.37 ₴ +66.5% chance of profit 28%
expensive: Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) · 1 777.74 ₴ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 10 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 7× Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 2× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
Variant 3 only The Mirage Collection
+17 694.90 ₴ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 422 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+16 334.04 ₴ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 760 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+16 047.43 ₴ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 336 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+15 962.01 ₴ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 543 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M249 | Humidor
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
204.42 ₴
at 204.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.007833wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 36 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 60) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
969.39 ₴
at 969.39
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.048961wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 619.97 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 396 · from 967.71 ₴ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
9 291.38 ₴
at 1 161.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.009792wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 62) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 10 465.18 ₴ +15 980.54 (+152.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.006757, 0.070000, 0.005000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
33 484.65 ₴ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 29117.09 you get 0.070000The Mirage Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 119.35 ₴ (you get 7 929.87)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 449.93 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 458.26 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
AUG | Sand Storm
Factory New
1 885.71 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)net 1639.74 you get 0.006757
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 675.55 ₴ (you get 1 457.00)) · buy orders: 5036 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 433.65 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 571.98 · lots 21 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 301.65 ₴ listings: 37 on CS.Money: ~ 1 372.11 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 438.10 ₴ listings: 57
at a loss
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Factory New
4 609.88 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)net 4008.59 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 066.13 ₴ (you get 3 535.76)) · buy orders: 1121 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 584.12 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 929.95 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 3 208.33 ₴ listings: 36 on CS.Money: ~ 3 170.63 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 145.94 ₴ listings: 34
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
1 796.46 ₴ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New)net 1562.14 you get 0.005000 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 545.78 ₴ (you get 1 344.15)) · buy orders: 1152 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 308.83 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 435.12 · lots 11 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 254.97 ₴ listings: 24 on CS.Money: ~ 1 364.49 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 299.85 ₴ listings: 45
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