Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1707113 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 009.56₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 7 112.53₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 11 122.09₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +56.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 17 241.22₽ · profit at most −6 119.13₽ (at most -35.5%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M249 | Humidor (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 390.12 → 842.66 ₽
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) × 4 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1959.96 → 4635.31 ₽
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) × 5 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 4762.45 → 11763.25 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 590 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 590 ₽: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New), Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear), AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection
+4 009.56 ₽ +56.4% chance of profit 45%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −5 590 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Humidor (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
  • 4× Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1735
  • 5× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+466.36 ₽ +66.5% chance of profit 28%
expensive: Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) · 3 392.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 10 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 7× Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 2× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
Variant 3 The Mirage Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+30 497.57 ₽ +152.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 873 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Humidor (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 only The Overpass Collection
+7 431.82 ₽ +78.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 525 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 10× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+7 088.31 ₽ +80.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 744 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+7 042.40 ₽ +78.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 998 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0242

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M249 | Humidor
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0071
390.12 ₽
at 390.12
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007174f′ (normalized) 0.014348wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 36 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1735
1 959.96 ₽
at 489.99
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.173572f′ (normalized) 0.153476wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 71 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 286.10 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0071
4 762.45 ₽
at 952.49
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007174f′ (normalized) 0.014348wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 7 112.53 ₽ +4 009.56 (+56.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.111800, 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.111800, 0.025900 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
3 637.32 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 3162.89 you get 0.111800The Overpass Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 626.06 ₽ (you get 3 153.09)) · buy orders: 759 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 055.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 350.00 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 2 878.97 ₽ listings: 122 on CS.Money: ~ 3 164.21 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 087.98 ₽ listings: 98
in profit
best
USP-S | Road Rash
Factory New
23 997.02 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)net 20866.97 you get 0.070000The Overpass Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 12 847.90 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 087.61 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 11 605.82 ₽ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 12 517.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 703.47 ₽ listings: 71
at a loss
AUG | Sand Storm
Factory New
3 598.72 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)net 3129.32 you get 0.035000
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 197.66 ₽ (you get 2 780.57)) · buy orders: 5036 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 736.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 000.00 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 2 484.09 ₽ listings: 37 on CS.Money: ~ 2 618.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 744.49 ₽ listings: 57
at a loss
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
3 621.36 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 3149.01 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 361.18 ₽ (you get 2 922.76)) · buy orders: 1105 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 853.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 129.16 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 2 869.55 ₽ listings: 27 on CS.Money: ~ 2 787.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 801.02 ₽ listings: 49
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
3 428.39 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New)net 2981.21 you get 0.025900 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 950.00 ₽ (you get 2 565.21)) · buy orders: 1152 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 497.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 738.81 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 2 395.00 ₽ listings: 24 on CS.Money: ~ 2 604.01 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 480.66 ₽ listings: 45
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