Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707122 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 398.16₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 746.77₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 144.93₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +43.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 52 171.50₽ · profit at most −21 026.57₽ (at most -40.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 12288.00 → 30842.88 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8976.78 → 20287.52 ₽
USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 481.99 → 1041.10 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 597 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 597 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection
+9 398.16 ₽ +43.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 597 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 230.19 ₽ +43.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761
Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 920.50 ₽ +66.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 4 only The Phoenix Collection
+1 909.54 ₽ +64.8% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 802.55 ₽ +64.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 1× M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 793.30 ₽ +64.7% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1627
12 288.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162769f′ (normalized) 0.138877wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 3 411.76 ₽ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
8 976.78 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003886f′ (normalized) 0.010503wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 87 · from 4 554.44 ₽ (float 0.0012) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
USP-S | Guardian
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
481.99 ₽
at 481.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003886f′ (normalized) 0.010226wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 479 · good ≈ 6
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 499 · from 1 379.95 ₽ (float 0.0027) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 21 746.77 ₽ +9 398.16 (+43.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.152500, 0.026250, 0.138625 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
AK-47 | Redline
Field-Tested
3 006.60 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)net 2614.43 you get 0.152500The Phoenix Collection sells 554 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 938.52 ₽ (you get 2 555.23)) · buy orders: 48149 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 161.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 370.00 · lots 349 on CSFloat: from 2 175.72 ₽ listings: 3732 on CS.Money: ~ 2 406.14 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 263.09 ₽ listings: 2317
at a loss
worst
Nova | Antique
Factory New
1 017.17 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Nova | Antique (Factory New)net 884.50 you get 0.026250The Phoenix Collection sells ≈30 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 011.70 ₽ (you get 879.73)) · buy orders: 1579 sell on Market.CSGO: 813.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 892.33 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 767.50 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 761.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 800.90 ₽ listings: 93
at a loss
P90 | Trigon
Minimal Wear
1 132.49 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)net 984.77 you get 0.138625The Phoenix Collection sells 17 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 963.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 057.00 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 927.68 ₽ listings: 104 on CS.Money: ~ 887.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 960.23 ₽ listings: 85
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