Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707182 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 840.99₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 244.91₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 085.90₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 56 526.37₽ · profit at most −25 440.47₽ (at most -45.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 91.61 → 197.88 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 154 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 154 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Recoil Collection
+7 840.99 ₽ +33.7% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 154 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 180.22 ₽ +45.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+701.74 ₽ +40.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+14 385.96 ₽ +95.8% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 649 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+12 424.74 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 595 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+11 684.61 ₽ +46.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 328 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1706

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1645
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164546f′ (normalized) 0.141278wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0044
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004427f′ (normalized) 0.011965wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
91.61 ₽
at 91.61
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075059f′ (normalized) 0.075059wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 368 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 23 244.91 ₽ +7 840.99 (+33.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.053900, 0.049000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
1 404.87 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 1221.63 you get 0.053900The Recoil Collection sells 331 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 381.77 ₽ (you get 1 201.53)) · buy orders: 8906 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 134.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 244.17 · lots 89 on CSFloat: from 1 055.31 ₽ listings: 547 on CS.Money: ~ 1 131.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 121.26 ₽ listings: 777
at a loss
worst
P250 | Visions
Factory New
770.96 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Visions (Factory New)net 670.40 you get 0.049000The Recoil Collection sells 115 a week sell now to a buy order: 852.01 ₽ (you get 740.87)) · buy orders: 4816 sell on Market.CSGO: 654.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 718.00 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 603.89 ₽ listings: 235 on CS.Money: ~ 640.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 650.15 ₽ listings: 233
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Factory New
943.86 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)net 820.75 you get 0.070000The Recoil Collection sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 345.43 ₽ (you get 1 169.93)) · buy orders: 4694 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 092.63 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 198.06 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 1 027.90 ₽ listings: 175 on CS.Money: ~ 1 059.59 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 069.87 ₽ listings: 143
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