Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Revolution Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707194 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 706.89₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 347.52₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 054.41₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +45.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 51 309.12₽ · profit at most −20 254.71₽ (at most -39.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 12288.00 → 30842.88 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8976.78 → 20287.52 ₽
MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 82.74 → 178.72 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 289 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 289 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Revolution Collection
+9 706.89 ₽ +45.5% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 289 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2190
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 254.95 ₽ +47.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2217
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+751.06 ₽ +45.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2207
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+725.17 ₽ +70.5% chance of profit 80%
expensive: G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) · 3 304.84 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 8 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2190
  • 3× M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+663.42 ₽ +55.8% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) · 3 681.36 ₽ · chance 20%
rare inputs
  • 4× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2188
  • 1× SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 5× XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+636.33 ₽ +69.5% chance of profit 67%
expensive: AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) · 4 914.91 ₽ · chance 10%
rare inputs
  • 1× P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 6× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2187
  • 3× PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1622
12 288.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162258f′ (normalized) 0.138187wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 3 411.76 ₽ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0037
8 976.78 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003730f′ (normalized) 0.010083wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 87 · from 4 554.44 ₽ (float 0.0012) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
MAC-10 | Sakkaku
Field-Tested
buy 0.2100–0.2190
82.74 ₽
at 82.74
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.219060f′ (normalized) 0.015622wear 0.2100–0.3800on the market 2 890 · good ≈ 129
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 91.78 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 3879) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 21 347.52 ₽ +9 706.89 (+45.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.070000, 0.087500, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
AWP | Duality
Factory New
948.49 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AWP | Duality (Factory New)net 824.77 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection sells 188 a week sell now to a buy order: 995.44 ₽ (you get 865.60)) · buy orders: 5788 sell on Market.CSGO: 780.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 856.27 · lots 66 on CSFloat: from 722.95 ₽ listings: 353 on CS.Money: ~ 765.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 770.92 ₽ listings: 552
at a loss
P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
552.65 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)net 480.57 you get 0.087500The Revolution Collection sells 573 a week sell now to a buy order: 550.79 ₽ (you get 478.94)) · buy orders: 11447 sell on Market.CSGO: 414.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 454.48 · lots 84 on CSFloat: from 395.74 ₽ listings: 233 on CS.Money: ~ 417.16 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 418.87 ₽ listings: 297
at a loss
worst
UMP-45 | Wild Child
Minimal Wear
531.98 ₽ 3.33%
Steam UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)net 462.59 you get 0.087500The Revolution Collection sells 517 a week sell now to a buy order: 546.97 ₽ (you get 475.62)) · buy orders: 9881 sell on Market.CSGO: 406.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 446.25 · lots 61 on CSFloat: from 396.60 ₽ listings: 226 on CS.Money: ~ 445.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 418.01 ₽ listings: 330
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