Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707369 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 502.21₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 816.46₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 318.67₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +43.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 52 322.03₽ · profit at most −21 003.36₽ (at most -40.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 12288.00 → 30842.88 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8976.78 → 20287.52 ₽
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 551.68 → 1191.63 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 686 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 686 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Wildfire Collection
+9 502.21 ₽ +43.6% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 686 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1629
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+12 424.74 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 595 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+11 815.43 ₽ +79.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 440 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+11 684.61 ₽ +46.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 328 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1706
Variant 5 only The 2021 Mirage Collection
+10 182.38 ₽ +42.0% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −24 257 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 4× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 6 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+9 832.65 ₽ +41.5% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 665 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× Souvenir MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1629
12 288.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162910f′ (normalized) 0.139068wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
8 976.78 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003929f′ (normalized) 0.010619wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
MAG-7 | Praetorian
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
551.68 ₽
at 551.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003929f′ (normalized) 0.008731wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 98 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 21 816.46 ₽ +9 502.21 (+43.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.087500, 0.066500, 0.052500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
worst
AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
1 942.02 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)net 1688.71 you get 0.087500The Wildfire Collection sells 77 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 932.56 ₽ (you get 1 680.48)) · buy orders: 2564 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 593.31 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 747.06 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 1 523.86 ₽ listings: 126 on CS.Money: ~ 1 611.23 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 643.78 ₽ listings: 157
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon
Factory New
6 649.47 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)net 5782.15 you get 0.066500The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 537.81 ₽ (you get 5 685.05)) · buy orders: 1282 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 128.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 719.44 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 5 345.07 ₽ listings: 135 on CS.Money: ~ 5 446.14 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 556.64 ₽ listings: 150
at a loss
Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
2 558.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 2225.04 you get 0.052500The Wildfire Collection sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 474.75 ₽ (you get 2 151.95)) · buy orders: 1214 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 933.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 120.00 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 1 845.93 ₽ listings: 53 on CS.Money: ~ 1 997.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 972.71 ₽ listings: 98
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