Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707370 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 884.96₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 596.62₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 481.58₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 57 286.06₽ · profit at most −25 804.48₽ (at most -45.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 443.32 → 957.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 522 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 522 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), AWP | Elite Build (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Wildfire Collection
+7 884.96 ₽ +33.4% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 522 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+12 424.74 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 595 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+11 815.43 ₽ +79.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 440 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+11 684.61 ₽ +46.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 328 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1706
Variant 5 only The 2021 Mirage Collection
+10 182.38 ₽ +42.0% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −24 257 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 4× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 6 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+9 832.65 ₽ +41.5% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 665 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× Souvenir MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1645
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164546f′ (normalized) 0.141278wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 3 411.76 ₽ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0044
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004427f′ (normalized) 0.011965wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 87 · from 3 762.96 ₽ (float 0.0043) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Glock-18 | Royal Legion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
443.32 ₽
at 443.32
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075059f′ (normalized) 0.075059wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 115 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 132) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 23 596.62 ₽ +7 884.96 (+33.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.053200, 0.042000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
AWP | Elite Build
Factory New
7 562.28 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Elite Build (Factory New)net 6575.90 you get 0.070000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 573.19 ₽ (you get 5 715.81)) · buy orders: 1520 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 686.42 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 235.12 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 5 314.23 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 5 426.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 952.75 ₽ listings: 134
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon
Factory New
6 649.47 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)net 5782.15 you get 0.053200The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 537.81 ₽ (you get 5 685.05)) · buy orders: 1282 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 128.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 719.44 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 5 345.07 ₽ listings: 135 on CS.Money: ~ 5 446.14 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 556.64 ₽ listings: 150
at a loss
worst
Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
2 558.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 2225.04 you get 0.042000The Wildfire Collection sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 474.75 ₽ (you get 2 151.95)) · buy orders: 1214 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 933.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 120.00 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 1 845.93 ₽ listings: 53 on CS.Money: ~ 1 997.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 972.71 ₽ listings: 98
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