The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +2 098.36₽

Invest 921.86₽

Average return 3 020.22₽

ROI +227.6%

Chance of profit 46%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 294.17₽ · profit at most +726.05₽ (at most +31.6%) · chance of profit at most 38%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 277.28 → 598.92 ₽

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 644.58 → 1695.25 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −134 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

+2 098.36 ₽ +227.6% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −134 ₽

1× AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051

Variant 2 only The Gamma 2 Collection

+2 455.01 ₽ +342.8% chance of profit 40%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 20%

sells slowly

10× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+2 264.35 ₽ +271.8% chance of profit 41%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
1× G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048

Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+2 237.17 ₽ +320.6% chance of profit 41%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
1× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+2 234.58 ₽ +314.3% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051

Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+2 221.04 ₽ +304.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%

sells slowly

9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
1× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

AUG | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

277.28 ₽

at 277.28

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

644.58 ₽

at 71.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 921.86 ₽ +2 098.36 (+227.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Directive

Factory New

13 409.78 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

3 901.58 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

138.60 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

370.01 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

414.51 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

2 863.23 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

1 468.98 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

1 994.84 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

1 885.56 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

1 339.77 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 125.48 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 010.26 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1731161 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 2 148.56₽ · invest 906.13₽
profit on prices without salesat least −88 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005189
Craft 1731618 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 2 138.52₽ · invest 853.02₽
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005599 instead of 0.005189
Craft 1731042 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 2 121.29₽ · invest 886.04₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005189
Craft 1731733 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 2 088.41₽ · invest 914.99₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004931 instead of 0.005189
Craft 1731701 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 2 062.73₽ · invest 931.25₽
profit on prices without salesat least −87 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005189

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build