Crafts · The 2021 Vertigo Collection
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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1708923 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +25 611.41₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 70 071.12₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 95 682.53₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +36.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest 153 923.70₽ · profit −58 241.16₽ (-37.8%) · chance of profit 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) × 9 45% of the wear window fits ×2.20 69396.21 → 152831.27 ₽
G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) × 1 45% of the wear window fits ×1.61 674.91 → 1088.97 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −69 637 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −69 637 ₽: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Shadow Collection
+25 611.41 ₽ +36.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) · 105 831.57 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −69 637 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.2532
  • 1× G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) buy 0.3800–0.4114
Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+8 547.50 ₽ +37.2% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
  • 8× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+5 456.29 ₽ +25.8% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1699
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+4 910.75 ₽ +24.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 1× M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 7× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+4 289.52 ₽ +19.7% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1686
  • 2× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 6× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+4 123.89 ₽ +17.9% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 7× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

45% of lots fit collecting: no data
×9
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2532
69 396.21 ₽
at 7 710.69
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.253261f′ (normalized) 0.476984wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new ~0.75 per day, cheapest usually 9 130.94 ₽
×1
G3SG1 | Flux
Well-Worn
buy 0.3800–0.4114
674.91 ₽
at 674.91
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.411427f′ (normalized) 0.457141wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 18
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 70 071.12 ₽ +25 611.41 (+36.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.474999900 result 0.380000, 0.475000, 0.475000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger
Field-Tested
121 706.30 ₽ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)net 105831.57 you get 0.380000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 61 611.43 ₽ (you get 53 575.15)) · buy orders: 218 sell on Market.CSGO: 53 801.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 58 993.00 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 50 262.47 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 59 153.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 55 906.48 ₽ listings: 27
at a loss
worst
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
4 700.00 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred)net 4086.96 you get 0.475000The Shadow Collection sells ≈46 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 4 690.35 ₽ (you get 4 078.56)) · buy orders: 1700 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 819.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 187.72 · lots 73 on CSFloat: from 3 730.41 ₽ listings: 54 on CS.Money: ~ 3 886.31 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 667.02 ₽ listings: 118
at a loss
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Battle-Scarred
5 284.89 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred)net 4595.56 you get 0.475000The Shadow Collection sells 25 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 406.58 ₽ (you get 4 701.37)) · buy orders: 961 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 601.35 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 045.34 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 4 382.27 ₽ listings: 55 on CS.Money: ~ 4 565.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 292.33 ₽ listings: 117
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