Crafts · The 2021 Vertigo Collection
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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1709124 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +21 002.05₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 65 309.59₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 86 311.64₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +32.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 167 593.49₽ · profit at most −81 281.85₽ (at most -48.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 61685.52 → 159765.50 ₽
P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1157.01 → 2499.14 ₽
XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2467.06 → 5328.85 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −64 535 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −64 535 ₽: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested), P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+21 002.05 ₽ +32.2% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) · 105 831.57 ₽ · chance 80%
profit on prices without salesat least −64 535 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 1× P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 1× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+8 547.50 ₽ +37.2% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
  • 8× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+5 456.29 ₽ +25.8% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1699
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+4 910.75 ₽ +24.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 1× M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 7× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+4 289.52 ₽ +19.7% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1686
  • 2× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 6× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+4 123.89 ₽ +17.9% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 7× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1625
61 685.52 ₽
at 7 710.69
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162565f′ (normalized) 0.299148wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×1
P250 | Cartel
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
1 157.01 ₽
at 1 157.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074370f′ (normalized) 0.099160wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
×1
XM1014 | Tranquility
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
2 467.06 ₽
at 2 467.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003824f′ (normalized) 0.007648wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 36 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 95 424.83 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 65 309.59 ₽ +21 002.05 (+32.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.249999900 result 0.200000, 0.212500, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger
Field-Tested
121 706.30 ₽ 80.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)net 105831.57 you get 0.200000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 61 611.43 ₽ (you get 53 575.15)) · buy orders: 218 sell on Market.CSGO: 53 801.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 58 993.00 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 50 262.47 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 59 153.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 55 906.48 ₽ listings: 27
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel
Field-Tested
8 909.62 ₽ 10.00%
Steam AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)net 7747.50 you get 0.212500The Vanguard Collection sells 30 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 522.00 ₽ (you get 7 410.43)) · buy orders: 2127 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 565.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 199.00 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 6 169.10 ₽ listings: 144 on CS.Money: ~ 6 764.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 858.65 ₽ listings: 152
at a loss
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Minimal Wear
10 023.81 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)net 8716.36 you get 0.150000The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 530.61 ₽ (you get 7 417.92)) · buy orders: 1607 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 909.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 576.14 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 6 470.61 ₽ listings: 73 on CS.Money: ~ 7 092.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 155.02 ₽ listings: 65
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