Crafts · The 2021 Vertigo Collection
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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1709125 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +20 304.98₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 44 430.60₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 64 735.58₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +45.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 109 743.58₽ · profit at most −45 008.00₽ (at most -41.0%) · chance of profit at most 50%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 38553.45 → 95227.02 ₽
SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 5877.15 → 14516.56 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −42 494 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −42 494 ₽: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+20 304.98 ₽ +45.7% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) · 121 239.23 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −42 494 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 5× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+8 547.50 ₽ +37.2% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
  • 8× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+5 456.29 ₽ +25.8% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1699
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+4 910.75 ₽ +24.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 1× M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 7× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+4 289.52 ₽ +19.7% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1686
  • 2× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 6× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+4 123.89 ₽ +17.9% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 7× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
38 553.45 ₽
at 7 710.69
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163207f′ (normalized) 0.300406wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 20 · from 10 316.66 ₽ (float 0.1570) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
5 877.15 ₽
at 1 175.43
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074593f′ (normalized) 0.074593wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 43) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 44 430.60 ₽ +20 304.98 (+45.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.171875, 0.112500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger
Minimal Wear
139 425.12 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)net 121239.23 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 70 313.21 ₽ (you get 61 141.92)) · buy orders: 221 sell on Market.CSGO: 82 397.54 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 90 348.18 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 74 098.56 ₽ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 74 994.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 70 324.46 ₽ listings: 29
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel
Field-Tested
8 909.62 ₽ 25.00%
Steam AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)net 7747.50 you get 0.171875The Vanguard Collection sells 30 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 522.00 ₽ (you get 7 410.43)) · buy orders: 2127 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 565.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 199.00 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 6 169.10 ₽ listings: 144 on CS.Money: ~ 6 764.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 858.65 ₽ listings: 152
at a loss
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Minimal Wear
10 023.81 ₽ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)net 8716.36 you get 0.112500The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 530.61 ₽ (you get 7 417.92)) · buy orders: 1607 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 909.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 576.14 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 6 470.61 ₽ listings: 73 on CS.Money: ~ 7 092.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 155.02 ₽ listings: 65
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