Crafts · The Alpha Collection
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The Alpha Collection + The Ascent Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade About the craft Craft 1709948 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 948.16₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 039.25₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 7 987.41₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +97.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 976.95₽ · profit at most −1 989.54₽ (at most -19.9%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 4024.00 → 9939.28 ₽
Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 15.25 → 37.67 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 028 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 028 ₽: Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Factory New), Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Factory New), Negev | Palm (Factory New), SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams (Factory New), P250 | Facets (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Alpha Collection + The Ascent Collection
+3 948.16 ₽ +97.7% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Factory New) · 58 576.16 ₽ · chance 10%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 028 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 5× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Alpha Collection
+1 052.52 ₽ +61.6% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A4 | Tornado (Factory New) · 9 227.18 ₽ · chance 25%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 5× Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Alpha Collection
+861.93 ₽ +167.3% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) · 3 352.90 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 6× Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 1× Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 4 The Office Collection instead of The Alpha Collection
+19 468.36 ₽ +233.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 93 834.50 ₽ · chance 17%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 316 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 5× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
Variant 5 The Office Collection instead of The Ascent Collection
+10 401.50 ₽ +25.2% chance of profit 62%
expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 93 834.50 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −41 206 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 6× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 3× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Ascent Collection
+5 445.84 ₽ +93.7% chance of profit 42%
expensive: Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Factory New) · 58 576.16 ₽ · chance 14%
profit on prices without salesat least −5 721 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 3× G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
MP7 | Groundwater
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0748
4 024.00 ₽
at 804.80
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074809f′ (normalized) 0.020012wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 25 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Galil AR | Grey Smoke
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0042
15.25 ₽
at 3.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004208f′ (normalized) 0.007013wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 4 593 · good ≈ 66
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 4 039.25 ₽ +3 948.16 (+97.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.009459, 0.008108, 0.008108, 0.008108, 0.008108, 0.010811, 0.009168, 0.010135, 0.008108 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 14 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 40%
  • Losing outcome 60%
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Sand Dune
Factory New
67 362.58 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Factory New)net 58576.16 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16 795.38 ₽ (you get 14 604.67)) · buy orders: 313
in profit
Negev | Palm
Factory New
7 710.69 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam Negev | Palm (Factory New)net 6704.95 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 889.98 ₽ (you get 3 382.59)) · buy orders: 68
at a loss
P250 | Facets
Factory New
3 631.73 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam P250 | Facets (Factory New)net 3158.03 you get 0.070000
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
Sawed-Off | Mosaico
Factory New
7 881.12 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Factory New)net 6853.15 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams
Factory New
5 141.45 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams (Factory New)net 4470.83 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 053.27 ₽ (you get 2 655.01)) · buy orders: 242
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
Factory New
35.13 ₽ 5.56%
Steam Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Factory New)net 30.55 you get 0.009459The Ascent Collection sells 1581 a week sell now to a buy order: 34.42 ₽ (you get 29.93)) · buy orders: 34841
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Sky Blue
Factory New
19.02 ₽ 5.56%
Steam Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Factory New)net 16.54 you get 0.008108The Ascent Collection sells 1835 a week sell now to a buy order: 17.21 ₽ (you get 14.96)) · buy orders: 22584
at a loss
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
Factory New
21.00 ₽ 5.56%
Steam Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Factory New)net 18.26 you get 0.008108The Ascent Collection sells 1830 a week sell now to a buy order: 19.12 ₽ (you get 16.62)) · buy orders: 28904
at a loss
Glock-18 | Ocean Topo
Factory New
40.10 ₽ 5.56%
Steam Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Factory New)net 34.87 you get 0.008108The Ascent Collection sells 2842 a week sell now to a buy order: 37.29 ₽ (you get 32.42)) · buy orders: 27272
at a loss
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
Factory New
21.84 ₽ 5.56%
Steam M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Factory New)net 18.99 you get 0.008108The Ascent Collection sells ≈2542 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders
at a loss
Negev | Sour Grapes
Factory New
34.27 ₽ 5.56%
Steam Negev | Sour Grapes (Factory New)net 29.80 you get 0.010811The Ascent Collection sells ≈646 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 35.38 ₽ (you get 30.76)) · buy orders: 21973
at a loss
Nova | Turquoise Pour
Factory New
15.94 ₽ 5.56%
Steam Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New)net 13.86 you get 0.009168The Ascent Collection sells 892 a week sell now to a buy order: 15.30 ₽ (you get 13.30)) · buy orders: 23619
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
Factory New
27.42 ₽ 5.56%
Steam Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Factory New)net 23.84 you get 0.010135The Ascent Collection sells 994 a week sell now to a buy order: 25.82 ₽ (you get 22.45)) · buy orders: 21952
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
Factory New
14.99 ₽ 5.56%
Steam XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New)net 13.03 you get 0.008108The Ascent Collection sells 1511 a week sell now to a buy order: 13.39 ₽ (you get 11.64)) · buy orders: 21956
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