to all crafts

The Alpha Collection + The Office Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +5 450.32₴

Invest 21 591.45₴

Average return 27 041.77₴

ROI +25.2%

Chance of profit 62%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 50 061.10₴ · profit at most −23 019.33₴ (at most -46.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 421.71 → 910.89 ₴

FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 5226.40 → 13118.26 ₴

FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 15943.34 → 36031.94 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 591 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Alpha Collection + The Office Collection

+5 450.32 ₴ +25.2% chance of profit 62%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −21 591 ₴

1× MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
6× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
3× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

+14 212.87 ₴ +228.5% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −6 217 ₴

7× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
3× UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

+14 110.07 ₴ +214.4% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −6 461 ₴

7× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
3× Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 4 The Vertigo Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

+12 489.69 ₴ +156.4% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −7 984 ₴

7× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
3× Souvenir MAC-10 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

+10 230.72 ₴ +233.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 17%

profit on prices without salesat least −4 342 ₴

5× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
5× Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

+10 199.80 ₴ +233.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 17%

profit on prices without salesat least −4 359 ₴

5× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
5× Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

421.71 ₴

at 421.71

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

5 226.40 ₴

at 871.07

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Contrast Spray

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

15 943.34 ₴

at 5 314.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 591.45 ₴ +5 450.32 (+25.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −21 142 ₴

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

843.42 ₴

at 421.71

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

4 355.33 ₴

at 871.07

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Contrast Spray

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

15 943.34 ₴

at 5 314.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 142.09 ₴ +3 823.82 (+18.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −20 693 ₴

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1 265.13 ₴

at 421.71

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

3 484.27 ₴

at 871.07

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Contrast Spray

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

15 943.34 ₴

at 5 314.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 692.73 ₴ +2 197.33 (+10.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −20 243 ₴

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1 686.84 ₴

at 421.71

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2 613.20 ₴

at 871.07

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Contrast Spray

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

15 943.34 ₴

at 5 314.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 243.38 ₴ +570.83 (+2.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

in profit

G3SG1 | Arctic Camo

Factory New

28 813.21 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Winter Forest

Factory New

56 544.01 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Blizzard Marbleized

Factory New

15 098.58 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Sand Dune

Factory New

35 297.58 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Palm

Factory New

4 040.35 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Facets

Factory New

1 903.00 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Mosaico

Factory New

4 129.66 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams

Factory New

2 694.09 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -624.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 025.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Alpha Collection and The Office Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1723397 · The Cobblestone Collection + The Office Collection · profit 5 058.56₴ · invest 21 299.71₴
profit on prices without salesat least −21 286 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Storm (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Alpha Collection + The Office Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build