Crafts · The Ancient Collection
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The Ancient Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1710075 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 989.18₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 24 764.37₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 32 753.55₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +32.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 60 365.87₽ · profit at most −27 612.31₽ (at most -45.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 3 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 5910.81 → 13358.43 ₽
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 6 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 17953.56 → 45063.44 ₽
Nova | Graphite (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 900.00 → 1944.00 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 142 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 142 ₽: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New), P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+7 989.18 ₽ +32.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −24 142 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0791
  • 6× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+1 949.55 ₽ +35.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 8 345.22 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+1 608.46 ₽ +28.9% chance of profit 35%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 3× MP7 | Powercore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1638
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+1 534.43 ₽ +44.4% chance of profit 40%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+1 080.04 ₽ +23.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 8 345.22 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 5× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+1 048.21 ₽ +40.6% chance of profit 40%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 8 345.22 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0791
5 910.81 ₽
at 1 970.27
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.079105f′ (normalized) 0.175790wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×6
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0079
17 953.56 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007967f′ (normalized) 0.017705wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0079
900.00 ₽
at 900.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007967f′ (normalized) 0.066395wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 4 269.16 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 24 764.37 ₽ +7 989.18 (+32.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.005600, 0.017500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Panthera onca
Factory New
52 111.88 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)net 45314.68 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 40 783.59 ₽ (you get 35 463.99)) · buy orders: 651 sell on Market.CSGO: 31 007.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 33 999.99 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 26 738.18 ₽ listings: 58 on Lis-Skins: from 27 365.20 ₽ listings: 70
in profit
P90 | Run and Hide
Factory New
30 000.00 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)net 26086.96 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 225.18 ₽ (you get 16 717.54)) · buy orders: 706 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 620.37 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 20 417.08 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 15 332.80 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 16 526.88 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 037.28 ₽ listings: 48
at a loss
worst
P90 | Cold Blooded
Factory New
4 727.83 ₽ 5.00%
Steam P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)net 4111.16 you get 0.005600The Arms Deal 2 Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 602.38 ₽ (you get 4 002.06)) · buy orders: 645 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 947.04 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 327.90 · lots 33 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 3 703.00 ₽ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 3 924.00 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 780.95 ₽ listings: 141
at a loss
USP-S | Serum
Factory New
9 597.00 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Serum (Factory New)net 8345.22 you get 0.017500The Arms Deal 2 Collection sells 5 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 934.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 700.00 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 7 358.03 ₽ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 7 461.68 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 310.92 ₽ listings: 84
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