Crafts · The Ancient Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1710430 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +94.38$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 283.04$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 377.42$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 691.62$ · profit at most −314.20$ (at most -45.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 3 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 69.00 → 155.95 $
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 6 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 209.60 → 526.08 $
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 4.44 → 9.58 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −281 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −281 $: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New), P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection
+94.38 $ +33.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 529.02 $ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −281 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 6× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+21.95 $ +38.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 30%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+19.11 $ +30.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+18.12 $ +51.5% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 148.20 $ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+13.51 $ +28.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 65.27 $ · chance 90%
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+7.50 $ +14.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 83.75 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 8 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
  • 6× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
  • 3× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0767
69.00 $
at 23.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076746f′ (normalized) 0.170548wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 35) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
209.60 $
at 34.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005903f′ (normalized) 0.013119wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 63 · from 75.83 $ (float 0.0034) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0767
4.44 $
at 4.44
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076746f′ (normalized) 0.109638wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 303 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 10 of 90 · from 4.77 $ (float 0.0733) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 283.04 $ +94.38 (+33.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.042000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Panthera onca
Factory New
608.37 $ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)net 529.02 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 476.12 $ (you get 414.02)) · buy orders: 651 sell on Market.CSGO: 362.00 $ to your card cheapest lot 396.93 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 312.15 $ listings: 58 on Lis-Skins: from 319.47 $ listings: 70
in profit
P90 | Run and Hide
Factory New
350.23 $ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)net 304.55 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 224.44 $ (you get 195.17)) · buy orders: 706 sell on Market.CSGO: 217.38 $ to your card cheapest lot 238.36 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 179.00 $ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 192.94 $ on Lis-Skins: from 175.55 $ listings: 48
at a loss
worst
M4A1-S | Party Animal
Factory New
26.62 $ 10.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Party Animal (Factory New)net 23.15 you get 0.042000The Harlequin Collection sells ≈168 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 27.24 $ (you get 23.69)) · buy orders: 4203 sell on Market.CSGO: 22.88 $ to your card cheapest lot 25.09 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 20.76 $ listings: 148 on CS.Money: ~ 21.77 $ on Lis-Skins: from 22.95 $ listings: 511
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