Crafts · The Ancient Collection
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The Ancient Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1710741 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +8 335.93₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 24 346.36₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 32 682.29₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 59 462.96₽ · profit at most −26 780.68₽ (at most -45.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 3 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 5910.81 → 13358.43 ₽
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 6 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 17953.56 → 45063.44 ₽
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 481.99 → 1041.10 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 154 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 154 ₽: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New), P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New), AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Shadow Collection
+8 335.93 ₽ +34.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −24 154 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761
  • 6× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+2 016.83 ₽ +39.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+736.96 ₽ +41.9% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) · 3 681.36 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+644.10 ₽ +34.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 2× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+610.60 ₽ +32.6% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) · 3 784.14 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 2× MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 5× M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+15 032.42 ₽ +55.6% chance of profit 75%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 014 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0761
5 910.81 ₽
at 1 970.27
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076156f′ (normalized) 0.169237wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×6
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0053
17 953.56 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005387f′ (normalized) 0.011971wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0053
481.99 ₽
at 481.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005387f′ (normalized) 0.008689wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 101 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 897.96 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 24 346.36 ₽ +8 335.93 (+34.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.058823429 result 0.058823, 0.058823, 0.070000, 0.052941, 0.037647 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Panthera onca
Factory New
52 111.88 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)net 45314.68 you get 0.058823
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 40 783.59 ₽ (you get 35 463.99)) · buy orders: 651 sell on Market.CSGO: 31 007.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 33 999.99 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 26 738.18 ₽ listings: 58 on Lis-Skins: from 27 365.20 ₽ listings: 70
in profit
P90 | Run and Hide
Factory New
30 000.00 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)net 26086.96 you get 0.058823
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 225.18 ₽ (you get 16 717.54)) · buy orders: 706 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 620.37 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 20 417.08 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 15 332.80 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 16 526.88 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 037.28 ₽ listings: 48
at a loss
AK-47 | Frontside Misty
Factory New
12 404.41 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)net 10786.44 you get 0.070000The Shadow Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 614.48 ₽ (you get 10 099.54)) · buy orders: 1584 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 893.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 847.63 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 8 975.26 ₽ listings: 82 on CS.Money: ~ 9 165.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 573.15 ₽ listings: 198
at a loss
G3SG1 | Flux
Factory New
3 800.57 ₽ 3.33%
Steam G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)net 3304.84 you get 0.052941The Shadow Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 709.03 ₽ (you get 2 355.67)) · buy orders: 478 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 462.34 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 699.94 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 2 741.06 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 2 312.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 380.44 ₽ listings: 41
at a loss
worst
SSG 08 | Big Iron
Factory New
2 823.51 ₽ 3.33%
Steam SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)net 2455.23 you get 0.037647The Shadow Collection sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 608.62 ₽ (you get 2 268.36)) · buy orders: 2114 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 268.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 487.41 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 1 983.84 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 2 036.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 248.53 ₽ listings: 116
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