Crafts · The Ancient Collection
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The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1710816 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 674.98₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 413.65₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 088.63₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +152.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 170.56₽ · profit at most −81.93₽ (at most -1.3%) · chance of profit at most 33%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 377.31 → 814.99 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 920 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 920 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New), MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New), USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 674.98 ₽ +152.3% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 920 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1045
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
Variant 2 The Mirage Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+30 281.35 ₽ +150.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 185 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+6 766.55 ₽ +75.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 950 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1042
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+3 950.83 ₽ +160.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 967 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Ancient Collection
+3 793.28 ₽ +165.4% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 685 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0873

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water
Minimal Wear
buy 0.1000–0.1045
377.31 ₽
at 377.31
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.104599f′ (normalized) 0.028749wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0064
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006439f′ (normalized) 0.008625wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 33
on the market with this float, usually ~17, new ~1.32 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 2 413.65 ₽ +3 674.98 (+152.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.007447, 0.004787, 0.005319 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 40%
  • Losing outcome 60%
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 579.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 634.91 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 582.48 ₽ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 574.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 550.78 ₽ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 827.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 907.05 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 853.15 ₽ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 943.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 842.02 ₽ listings: 356
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 721.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 141.76 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 13 421.77 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 14 491.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 700.16 ₽ listings: 118
in profit
MAC-10 | Gold Brick
Factory New
7 196.47 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)net 6257.80 you get 0.007447
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 054.91 ₽ (you get 5 265.13)) · buy orders: 1446 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 427.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 950.90 · lots 15 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 4 968.17 ₽ listings: 82 on CS.Money: ~ 5 471.84 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 360.49 ₽ listings: 80
in profit
USP-S | Ancient Visions
Factory New
4 433.14 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New)net 3854.90 you get 0.004787
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 167.29 ₽ (you get 3 623.73)) · buy orders: 1042 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 462.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 796.73 · lots 33 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 3 393.77 ₽ listings: 51 on CS.Money: ~ 3 386.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 370.65 ₽ listings: 96
in profit
XM1014 | Ancient Lore
Factory New
4 075.51 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New)net 3543.92 you get 0.005319
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 861.07 ₽ (you get 2 487.88)) · buy orders: 1220 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 027.52 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 319.66 · lots 8 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 2 536.34 ₽ listings: 23 on CS.Money: ~ 2 621.14 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 751.34 ₽ listings: 9
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