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The Arabesque Collection + The Breakout Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3 265.56₽

Invest 3 646.87₽

Average return 6 912.43₽

ROI +89.5%

Chance of profit 83%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 8 467.34₽ · profit at most −1 554.91₽ (at most -18.4%) · chance of profit at most 25%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 951.63 → 2150.68 ₽

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1309.94 → 2894.97 ₽

Nova | Koi (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 1385.30 → 3421.69 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 688 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Breakout Collection

+3 265.56 ₽ +89.5% chance of profit 83%

expensive: M4A4 | Falak (Factory New) · 13 491.70 ₽ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 688 ₽

3× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
2× Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+3 008.42 ₽ +127.0% chance of profit 67%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%

sells slowly

6× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
1× G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+2 491.64 ₽ +73.9% chance of profit 83%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 25%

sells slowly

5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
3× Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
2× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+2 063.28 ₽ +83.0% chance of profit 77%

expensive: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 23%

rare inputs

7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
2× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+1 986.49 ₽ +78.2% chance of profit 77%

expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 15%

sells slowly

7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
1× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
2× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636

Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+1 931.36 ₽ +75.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 17%

sells slowly

5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
5× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

951.63 ₽

at 317.21

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 309.94 ₽

at 654.97

Steam

×5

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1 385.30 ₽

at 277.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 646.87 ₽ +3 265.56 (+89.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −4 503 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

317.21 ₽

at 317.21

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

3 929.82 ₽

at 654.97

Steam

×3

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

831.18 ₽

at 277.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 078.21 ₽ +2 957.75 (+58.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −5 389 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

5 239.76 ₽

at 654.97

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

256.00 ₽

at 256.00

Steam

×1

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

277.06 ₽

at 277.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 772.82 ₽ +2 824.91 (+48.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 17%
About break-even 17%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Factory New

6 843.43 ₽ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Falak

Factory New

15 515.46 ₽ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

2 252.12 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

7 539.29 ₽ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

4 366.04 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 521.40 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 097.75 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Breakout Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1707819 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 3 108.85₽ · invest 14 261.57₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 262 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164087 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712111 · The Arabesque Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 2 982.50₽ · invest 6 047.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −6 048 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1711899 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2 950.34₽ · invest 5 122.00₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 827 ₽

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1711963 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 2 920.15₽ · invest 5 349.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 857 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162452 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074331 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712296 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2 918.12₽ · invest 5 328.52₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 010 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163211 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074595 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1711972 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 2 907.78₽ · invest 5 538.10₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 869 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1711931 · The Arabesque Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 2 897.86₽ · invest 5 199.00₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 879 ₽

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1711953 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 2 895.57₽ · invest 5 469.44₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 250 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164129 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074914 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1711855 · The Arabesque Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2 883.67₽ · invest 5 169.76₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 893 ₽ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163211 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074595 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712152 · The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 2 881.93₽ · invest 5 865.98₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 895 ₽ rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161912 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712203 · The Arabesque Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 2 868.69₽ · invest 6 026.56₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 908 ₽

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163814 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074804 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712040 · The Arabesque Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2 863.46₽ · invest 6 370.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 914 ₽

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712307 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2 856.87₽ · invest 5 369.00₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 920 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162532 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074359 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712283 · The Arabesque Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2 844.84₽ · invest 5 229.08₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 136 ₽

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163725 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074774 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712068 · The Arabesque Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2 839.90₽ · invest 5 144.00₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 937 ₽

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163579 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074723 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712297 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2 770.76₽ · invest 2 886.16₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 150 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161549 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074363
Craft 1712266 · The Arabesque Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2 609.10₽ · invest 5 009.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 049 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164229 instead of 0.162545; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074949 instead of 0.074363

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Breakout Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build