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The Arabesque Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +5 891.66₴

Invest 18 369.94₴

Average return 24 261.59₴

ROI +32.1%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 48 050.91₴ · profit at most −23 789.32₴ (at most -49.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 17812.45 → 46846.75 ₴

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 557.48 → 1204.16 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −18 122 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

+5 891.66 ₴ +32.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Factory New) · 29 685.23 ₴ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −18 122 ₴

9× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+1 787.13 ₴ +53.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 443.94 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+1 619.92 ₴ +50.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 5 238.07 ₴ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656

Variant 4 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+1 370.55 ₴ +32.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Minimal Wear) · 11 213.33 ₴ · chance 5.0%

1× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
7× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+1 092.39 ₴ +35.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 5 095.38 ₴ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656

Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+1 045.96 ₴ +23.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 6 426.74 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
3× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1654
6× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

17 812.45 ₴

at 1 979.16

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

557.48 ₴

at 557.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 369.94 ₴ +5 891.66 (+32.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 814 ₴

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

1 009.28 ₴

at 1 009.28

Steam

×6

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

11 874.97 ₴

at 1 979.16

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

1 672.45 ₴

at 557.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 556.70 ₴ +4 863.65 (+33.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −3 852 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

2 018.56 ₴

at 1 009.28

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

1 027.27 ₴

at 342.42

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

2 787.41 ₴

at 557.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 833.25 ₴ +1 484.00 (+25.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −11 175 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

2 018.56 ₴

at 1 009.28

Steam

×4

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

7 916.65 ₴

at 1 979.16

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

2 229.93 ₴

at 557.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 165.14 ₴ +4 834.59 (+39.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −8 536 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

3 027.84 ₴

at 1 009.28

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

3 958.32 ₴

at 1 979.16

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

2 787.41 ₴

at 557.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 773.58 ₴ +4 805.53 (+49.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn

Factory New

34 138.01 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Sovereign Flame

Factory New

27 231.08 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

2 979.64 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

2 715.17 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 285.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 334.92 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1712155 · The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6 131.70₴ · invest 18 345.44₴
profit on prices without salesat least −17 882 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711801 · The Arabesque Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 6 044.07₴ · invest 19 024.99₴
profit on prices without salesat least −18 557 ₴ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711926 · The Arabesque Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 5 891.87₴ · invest 19 005.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −19 005 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711983 · The Arabesque Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 5 862.00₴ · invest 19 262.50₴
profit on prices without salesat least −18 825 ₴ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1712114 · The Arabesque Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 5 839.01₴ · invest 20 318.62₴
profit on prices without salesat least −20 319 ₴ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711966 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 5 792.59₴ · invest 19 133.62₴
profit on prices without salesat least −19 134 ₴ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711956 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 5 786.38₴ · invest 18 811.81₴
profit on prices without salesat least −18 228 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711901 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 5 770.55₴ · invest 18 710.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −18 243 ₴ rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1712136 · The Arabesque Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 5 766.86₴ · invest 20 135.31₴
profit on prices without salesat least −20 135 ₴ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1712300 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 5 749.39₴ · invest 19 180.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −18 879 ₴ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711846 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 5 708.08₴ · invest 18 897.12₴
profit on prices without salesat least −18 306 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711828 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 5 601.14₴ · invest 19 591.73₴
profit on prices without salesat least −19 291 ₴ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077156 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1712328 · The Arabesque Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 5 583.47₴ · invest 19 304.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −18 431 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076617 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711993 · The Arabesque Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 5 557.96₴ · invest 20 540.22₴
profit on prices without salesat least −19 793 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build