to all crafts

The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +7.64$

Invest 129.27$

Average return 136.90$

ROI +5.9%

Chance of profit 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 313.22$ · profit at most −176.31$ (at most -56.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Battle-Scarred) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 14.39 → 31.08 $

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn) × 2 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 31.75 → 70.18 $

Nova | Antique (Factory New) × 7 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 83.12 → 211.96 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection

+7.64 $ +5.9% chance of profit 30%

expensive: AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Minimal Wear) · 249.83 $ · chance 15%

sells slowly

1× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Battle-Scarred) buy 0.4500–0.4949
2× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn) buy 0.3800–0.3857
7× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+32.20 $ +45.0% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 118.83 $ · chance 40%

sells slowly

2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752

Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+30.54 $ +32.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Minimal Wear) · 249.83 $ · chance 5.0%

1× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
7× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+27.73 $ +39.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 116.16 $ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+17.12 $ +18.7% chance of profit 55%

expensive: AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Minimal Wear) · 249.83 $ · chance 5.0%

1× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
7× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
2× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+16.84 $ +13.8% chance of profit 55%

expensive: AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Minimal Wear) · 249.83 $ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
7× P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
2× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

How to build

8% of lots fit collecting: no data

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4949

14.39 $

at 14.39

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3857

31.75 $

at 15.88

Steam

×7

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

83.12 $

at 11.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129.27 $ +7.64 (+5.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

103.74 $ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

133.59 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn

Minimal Wear

287.30 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Sovereign Flame

Minimal Wear

208.52 $ 15.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -5.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build