Crafts · The Arms Deal 2 Collection
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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Boreal Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1712411 · ways to build: 2 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +551.64₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 418.03₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 969.67₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +22.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 743.86₽ · profit at most −2 774.19₽ (at most -48.3%) · chance of profit at most 5%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Graphite (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 900.00 → 1944.00 ₽
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 1211.44 → 3137.63 ₽
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 306.59 → 662.23 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Boreal Collection
+551.64 ₽ +22.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 8 345.22 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 8× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+2 424.16 ₽ +55.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+2 180.90 ₽ +44.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Boreal Collection
+1 949.55 ₽ +35.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 8 345.22 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+1 793.89 ₽ +63.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Boreal Collection
+1 608.46 ₽ +28.9% chance of profit 35%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 3× MP7 | Powercore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1638
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

How to build Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
900.00 ₽
at 900.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004154f′ (normalized) 0.034619wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 4 269.16 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0747
1 211.44 ₽
at 151.43
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074747f′ (normalized) 0.111563wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 501 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
306.59 ₽
at 306.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004154f′ (normalized) 0.006200wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 495 · good ≈ 7
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 2 418.03 ₽ +551.64 (+22.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.093333233 result 0.070000, 0.007467, 0.023333 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
worst
AWP | Green Energy
Factory New
2 998.76 ₽ 90.00%
Steam AWP | Green Energy (Factory New)net 2607.62 you get 0.070000The Boreal Collection sells 96 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 987.29 ₽ (you get 2 597.64)) · buy orders: 9285 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 453.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 690.00 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 2 416.42 ₽ listings: 146 on CS.Money: ~ 2 510.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 413.85 ₽ listings: 563
in profit
P90 | Cold Blooded
Factory New
4 727.83 ₽ 5.00%
Steam P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)net 4111.16 you get 0.007467 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 602.38 ₽ (you get 4 002.06)) · buy orders: 645 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 947.04 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 327.90 · lots 33 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 3 703.00 ₽ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 3 924.00 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 780.95 ₽ listings: 141
in profit
best
USP-S | Serum
Factory New
9 597.00 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Serum (Factory New)net 8345.22 you get 0.023333 sells 5 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 934.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 700.00 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 7 358.03 ₽ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 7 461.68 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 310.92 ₽ listings: 84
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