Crafts · The Arms Deal 2 Collection
₸≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 5.2744 ₸. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1712503 · ways to build: 3 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +5 528.65₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 13 631.77₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 19 160.41₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +40.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 33 620.47₸ · profit at most −14 460.05₸ (at most -43.0%) · chance of profit at most 35%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Graphite (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 4746.93 → 10253.37 ₸
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) × 9 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 8884.83 → 23367.11 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection
+5 528.66 ₸ +40.6% chance of profit 40%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 44 015.78 ₸ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+13 698.47 ₸ +111.8% chance of profit 47%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 94 491.34 ₸ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+11 831.02 ₸ +45.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 41 681.97 ₸ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+10 282.64 ₸ +35.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 44 015.78 ₸ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+9 105.24 ₸ +58.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 66 954.06 ₸ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 9× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+8 919.88 ₸ +56.3% chance of profit 73%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 35 803.74 ₸ · chance 13%
rare inputs
  • 4× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0037
4 746.93 ₸
at 4 746.93
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003759f′ (normalized) 0.031329wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 22 517.13 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
Sawed-Off | Limelight
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0742
8 884.83 ₸
at 987.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074296f′ (normalized) 0.074296wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 13 631.77 ₸ +5 528.65 (+40.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.044100, 0.070000, 0.031500, 0.005600, 0.017500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 40%
  • Losing outcome 60%
at a loss
P2000 | Imperial Dragon
Factory New
12 700.84 ₸ 30.00%
Steam P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)net 11044.21 you get 0.044100The Gamma Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 867.49 ₸ (you get 10 319.52)) · buy orders: 2727 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 846.46 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 10 796.58 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 9 812.91 ₸ listings: 116 on CS.Money: ~ 10 255.70 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 10 513.19 ₸ listings: 167
in profit
M4A4 | Desolate Space
Factory New
41 174.31 ₸ 30.00%
Steam M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)net 35803.74 you get 0.070000The Gamma Collection sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 43 828.54 ₸ (you get 38 111.75)) · buy orders: 2240 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 403.18 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 37 722.82 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 28 693.36 ₸ listings: 137 on CS.Money: ~ 32 176.66 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 31 223.37 ₸ listings: 197
at a loss
worst
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport
Factory New
6 980.73 ₸ 30.00%
Steam SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)net 6070.22 you get 0.031500The Gamma Collection sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 813.85 ₸ (you get 5 925.07)) · buy orders: 2482 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 700.43 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 6 250.50 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 5 407.97 ₸ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 5 606.76 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 5 787.46 ₸ listings: 139
in profit
P90 | Cold Blooded
Factory New
24 936.32 ₸ 5.00%
Steam P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)net 21683.78 you get 0.005600 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 274.65 ₸ (you get 21 108.34)) · buy orders: 645 sell on Market.CSGO: 20 818.15 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 22 826.94 · lots 33 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 19 530.99 ₸ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 20 696.63 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 19 942.13 ₸ listings: 141
in profit
best
USP-S | Serum
Factory New
50 618.13 ₸ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Serum (Factory New)net 44015.78 you get 0.017500 sells 5 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 41 848.96 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 45 887.02 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 38 808.97 ₸ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 39 355.66 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 38 560.50 ₸ listings: 84
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