Crafts · The Arms Deal 2 Collection
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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1712687 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 124.21₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 224.92₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 11 349.13₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +168.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 38%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 10 841.60₽ · profit at most +507.53₽ (at most +4.7%) · chance of profit at most 18%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 574.34 → 1240.57 ₽
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 3650.58 → 9601.03 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 712 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 712 ₽: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New), StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Factory New), StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New), StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New), StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+7 124.21 ₽ +168.6% chance of profit 38%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 712 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0854
Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+8 155.91 ₽ +201.1% chance of profit 40%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 590 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 10× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0856
Variant 3 The Bravo Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+6 496.43 ₽ +108.1% chance of profit 48%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New) · 38 636.31 ₽ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −5 916 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 3× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 6× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+3 552.34 ₽ +18.0% chance of profit 47%
expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 23%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 445 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 3× StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 6× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0226
  • 1× StatTrak™ M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+721.40 ₽ +47.6% chance of profit 44%
expensive: StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) · 7 772.63 ₽ · chance 2.5%
profit on prices without salesat least −901 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+497.67 ₽ +41.7% chance of profit 78%
expensive: StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) · 7 772.63 ₽ · chance 2.5%
profit on prices without salesat least −633 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1674
  • 1× StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1674
  • 8× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0760

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ P250 | Hive
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0054
574.34 ₽
at 574.34
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005457f′ (normalized) 0.018191wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 52 · from 1 761.13 ₽ (float 0.0050) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0800–0.0854
3 650.58 ₽
at 405.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.085457f′ (normalized) 0.012993wear 0.0800–0.1500on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 13) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 4 224.92 ₽ +7 124.21 (+168.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.001081, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.013513, 0.001081, 0.001622 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 38%
  • Losing outcome 62%
at a loss
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak
Factory New
4 305.06 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)net 3743.53 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 689.17 ₽ (you get 3 207.97)) · buy orders: 290 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CS.Money: ~ 3 821.21 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 714.99 ₽ listings: 3
in profit
best
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web
Factory New
57 325.70 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 49848.43 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 39 951.66 ₽ (you get 34 740.57)) · buy orders: 1185 sell on Market.CSGO: 64 733.13 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 70 979.32 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 30 490.01 ₽ listings: 15 on CS.Money: ~ 33 729.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 071.63 ₽ listings: 16
at a loss
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption
Factory New
1 573.66 ₽ 18.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)net 1368.40 you get 0.002703The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 521.38 ₽ (you get 1 322.93)) · buy orders: 1272 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 568.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 719.74 · lots 12 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 164.95 ₽ listings: 81 on CS.Money: ~ 1 273.74 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 219.77 ₽ listings: 90
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam
Factory New
1 104.97 ₽ 18.00%
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)net 960.84 you get 0.001081The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 096.81 ₽ (you get 953.74)) · buy orders: 1221 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 044.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 144.78 · lots 8 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 811.18 ₽ listings: 62 on CS.Money: ~ 818.89 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 896.84 ₽ listings: 40
in profit
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus
Factory New
5 910.27 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Factory New)net 5139.37 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 243.56 ₽ (you get 2 820.48)) · buy orders: 156 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 2 978.33 ₽ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 3 666.17 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 943.70 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin
Factory New
3 245.08 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New)net 2821.81 you get 0.002703
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 090.56 ₽ (you get 2 687.44)) · buy orders: 343 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 998.63 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 287.98 · lots 10 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 2 435.26 ₽ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 2 848.99 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 770.18 ₽ listings: 36
in profit
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened
Factory New
8 938.53 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 7772.63 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 819.17 ₽ (you get 6 799.27)) · buy orders: 1125 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 298.53 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 002.78 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 6 121.13 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 6 893.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 631.65 ₽ listings: 39
at a loss
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hypnotic
Factory New
2 739.56 ₽ 2.50%
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New)net 2382.23 you get 0.001081 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 874.45 ₽ (you get 2 499.52)) · buy orders: 805 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 442.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 678.54 · lots 29 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 2 354.74 ₽ listings: 48 on CS.Money: ~ 2 443.83 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 288.78 ₽ listings: 59
at a loss
StatTrak™ Nova | Graphite
Factory New
1 555.31 ₽ 2.50%
Steam StatTrak™ Nova | Graphite (Factory New)net 1352.44 you get 0.001622 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 332.04 ₽ (you get 1 158.29)) · buy orders: 253 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 399.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 534.99 · lots 14 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 396.23 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 1 333.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 284.02 ₽ listings: 48
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