Crafts · The Arms Deal 3 Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Chop Shop Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1712736 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 157.10₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 7 455.73₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 8 612.83₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +15.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 18 199.72₴ · profit at most −9 586.89₴ (at most -52.7%) · chance of profit at most 25%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1108.81 → 2622.34 ₴
Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 320.99 → 693.33 ₴
MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 6025.93 → 14884.05 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −7 328 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −7 328 ₴: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New), SG 553 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear), Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New), Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Chop Shop Collection
+1 157.10 ₴ +15.5% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New) · 18 881.31 ₴ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −7 328 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 2 The Mirage Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection
+15 878.13 ₴ +150.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 556 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Mirage Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+15 381.01 ₴ +121.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 691 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+3 779.26 ₴ +62.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New) · 18 881.31 ₴ · chance 5.0%
profit on prices without salesat least −6 084 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection
+3 482.11 ₴ +73.0% chance of profit 92%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 744 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+2 159.30 ₴ +81.2% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New) · 18 881.31 ₴ · chance 5.0%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 400 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
1 108.81 ₴
at 277.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074106f′ (normalized) 0.019062wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 800.23 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
Dual Berettas | Panther
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0035
320.99 ₴
at 320.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003593f′ (normalized) 0.006194wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 131 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×5
MP7 | Full Stop
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
6 025.93 ₴
at 1 205.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074106f′ (normalized) 0.123510wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 7 455.73 ₴ +1 157.10 (+15.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.111800, 0.014000, 0.056000, 0.014000, 0.014000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
Dual Berettas | Duelist
Factory New
21 713.50 ₴ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New)net 18881.31 you get 0.070000The Chop Shop Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 678.03 ₴ (you get 11 893.93)) · buy orders: 113 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 466.25 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 14 765.63 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 12 791.59 ₴ listings: 26 on Lis-Skins: from 11 530.78 ₴ listings: 34
in profit
SG 553 | Bulldozer
Minimal Wear
12 051.86 ₴ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)net 10479.88 you get 0.111800The Chop Shop Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 8 692.24 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 530.96 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 7 585.45 ₴ listings: 14 on CS.Money: ~ 9 078.75 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 549.57 ₴ listings: 17
at a loss
worst
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
367.63 ₴ 12.50%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New)net 319.68 you get 0.014000 sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 361.27 ₴ (you get 314.14)) · buy orders: 1046 sell on Market.CSGO: 308.61 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 338.39 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 296.69 ₴ listings: 71 on CS.Money: ~ 302.07 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 310.15 ₴ listings: 91
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Heirloom
Factory New
6 218.76 ₴ 12.50%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New)net 5407.62 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 273.69 ₴ (you get 4 585.82)) · buy orders: 1313 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 830.84 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 5 296.97 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 4 284.21 ₴ listings: 36 on CS.Money: ~ 4 356.02 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 4 572.37 ₴ listings: 59
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy
Factory New
807.95 ₴ 12.50%
Steam Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)net 702.57 you get 0.014000 sells ≈21 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 830.76 ₴ (you get 722.40)) · buy orders: 2117 sell on Market.CSGO: 687.51 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 753.85 · lots 55 on CSFloat: from 727.13 ₴ listings: 178 on CS.Money: ~ 662.05 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 671.92 ₴ listings: 187
at a loss
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit
Factory New
4 312.96 ₴ 12.50%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)net 3750.40 you get 0.014000
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 279.08 ₴ (you get 3 720.94)) · buy orders: 2386 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 249.60 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 563.15 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 3 352.86 ₴ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 3 169.28 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 181.85 ₴ listings: 57
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