Crafts · The Arms Deal 3 Collection
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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1712861 · ways to build: 2 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +902.23₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 407.16₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 309.39₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +37.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 991.19₽ · profit at most −2 681.80₽ (at most -44.8%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 722.63 → 1560.88 ₽
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1684.53 → 4430.31 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection
+902.23 ₽ +37.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+2 597.18 ₽ +111.8% chance of profit 47%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+2 243.12 ₽ +45.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+2 046.83 ₽ +42.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+1 803.57 ₽ +33.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+1 726.32 ₽ +58.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 9× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625

How to build Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0045
722.63 ₽
at 722.63
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004579f′ (normalized) 0.022896wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
Sawed-Off | Limelight
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0752
1 684.53 ₽
at 187.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075233f′ (normalized) 0.075233wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 2 407.16 ₽ +902.23 (+37.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.044100, 0.070000, 0.031500, 0.028000, 0.014000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 40%
  • Losing outcome 60%
at a loss
P2000 | Imperial Dragon
Factory New
2 408.03 ₽ 30.00%
Steam P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)net 2093.94 you get 0.044100The Gamma Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 250.03 ₽ (you get 1 956.54)) · buy orders: 2727 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 866.85 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 046.99 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 1 860.49 ₽ listings: 116 on CS.Money: ~ 1 944.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 993.26 ₽ listings: 167
in profit
best
M4A4 | Desolate Space
Factory New
7 806.49 ₽ 30.00%
Steam M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)net 6788.25 you get 0.070000The Gamma Collection sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 309.72 ₽ (you get 7 225.84)) · buy orders: 2240 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 522.71 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 152.10 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 5 440.15 ₽ listings: 137 on CS.Money: ~ 6 100.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 919.83 ₽ listings: 197
at a loss
worst
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport
Factory New
1 323.52 ₽ 30.00%
Steam SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)net 1150.89 you get 0.031500The Gamma Collection sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 291.88 ₽ (you get 1 123.37)) · buy orders: 2482 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 080.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 185.07 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 1 025.33 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 1 063.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 097.28 ₽ listings: 139
in profit
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now
Factory New
3 050.00 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)net 2652.17 you get 0.028000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 038.93 ₽ (you get 2 642.54)) · buy orders: 290 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 547.33 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 793.13 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 2 395.00 ₽ listings: 60 on CS.Money: ~ 2 308.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 500.36 ₽ listings: 46
in profit
P250 | Undertow
Factory New
3 837.77 ₽ 5.00%
Steam P250 | Undertow (Factory New)net 3337.19 you get 0.014000 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 866.07 ₽ (you get 3 361.80)) · buy orders: 857 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 438.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 770.55 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 3 064.85 ₽ listings: 156 on CS.Money: ~ 3 374.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 300.41 ₽ listings: 145
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