Crafts · The Arms Deal 3 Collection
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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1713061 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +37 530.68₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 33 351.66₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 70 882.34₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +112.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 81 640.69₽ · profit at most −10 758.36₽ (at most -13.2%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 5501.90 → 11884.10 ₽
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 3706.76 → 8191.94 ₽
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 24143.00 → 61564.65 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −33 352 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −33 352 ₽: StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New), StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection
+37 530.68 ₽ +112.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 86 732.37 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −33 352 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 2× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 7× StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+31 155.28 ₽ +117.3% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+20 026.84 ₽ +45.4% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0777
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+8 441.85 ₽ +56.4% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+4 158.11 ₽ +36.4% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) · 33 815.65 ₽ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0775
  • 8× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0775
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0065
Variant 6 only The Shattered Web Collection
+43 702.10 ₽ +139.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 86 732.37 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −31 299 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
5 501.90 ₽
at 5 501.90
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004025f′ (normalized) 0.020125wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 31) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
3 706.76 ₽
at 1 853.38
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163225f′ (normalized) 0.163225wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 34 · from 1 967.57 ₽ (float 0.1628) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
24 143.00 ₽
at 3 449.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163225f′ (normalized) 0.050489wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 47) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 33 351.66 ₽ +37 530.68 (+112.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.052500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 10%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach
Factory New
99 742.23 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)net 86732.37 you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 75 118.31 ₽ (you get 65 320.26)) · buy orders: 1834 sell on Market.CSGO: 73 537.16 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 80 632.86 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 55 078.17 ₽ listings: 16 on Lis-Skins: from 63 132.60 ₽ listings: 19
in profit
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker
Factory New
72 759.74 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)net 63269.34 you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 31 319.70 ₽ (you get 27 234.52)) · buy orders: 3324 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 47 231.03 ₽ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 39 559.49 ₽ listings: 8
about break-even
worst
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria
Factory New
38 888.00 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New)net 33815.65 you get 0.052500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 795.16 ₽ (you get 13 734.92)) · buy orders: 181 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 19 268.79 ₽ listings: 8 on CS.Money: ~ 22 066.39 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 19 590.01 ₽ listings: 11
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