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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +49 211.50₸

Invest 156 667.24₸

Average return 205 878.75₸

ROI +31.4%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 404 474.01₸ · profit at most −198 595.32₸ (at most -49.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 16086.83 → 34747.55 ₸

MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 140580.41 → 369726.49 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −152 345 ₸

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

+49 211.49 ₸ +31.4% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | LongDog (Factory New) · 223 952.11 ₸ · chance 90%

profit on prices without salesat least −152 345 ₸

1× CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+10 306.98 ₸ +25.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 52 724.87 ₸ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
7× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+9 342.93 ₸ +21.1% chance of profit 45%

expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 74 928.54 ₸ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762

Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+3 711.86 ₸ +10.0% chance of profit 55%

expensive: AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) · 49 113.45 ₸ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
4× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
5× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+2 732.30 ₸ +5.0% chance of profit 45%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 64 689.72 ₸ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
4× P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746

Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

+147 590.20 ₸ +162.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 368 710.78 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −91 049 ₸

1× MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
9× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

16 086.83 ₸

at 16 086.83

Steam

×9

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

140 580.41 ₸

at 15 620.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 156 667.24 ₸ +49 211.50 (+31.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −134 440 ₸

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

48 260.48 ₸

at 16 086.83

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1742

5 424.58 ₸

at 5 424.58

Steam

×6

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

93 720.28 ₸

at 15 620.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147 405.34 ₸ +22 326.62 (+15.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −120 389 ₸

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

64 347.31 ₸

at 16 086.83

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

10 849.17 ₸

at 5 424.58

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

62 480.18 ₸

at 15 620.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 137 676.66 ₸ +13 981.88 (+10.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −106 339 ₸

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

80 434.14 ₸

at 16 086.83

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

16 273.75 ₸

at 5 424.58

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

31 240.09 ₸

at 15 620.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 127 947.98 ₸ +5 637.19 (+4.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −138 295 ₸

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

32 173.66 ₸

at 16 086.83

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

5 424.58 ₸

at 5 424.58

Steam

×7

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

109 340.32 ₸

at 15 620.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146 938.56 ₸ +40 866.77 (+27.8%)

What you get 2 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Factory New

257 544.94 ₸ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Victoria

Factory New

49 700.91 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15 952.49 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34 462.26 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1743033 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 52 802.88₸ · invest 153 592.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −151 282 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1743055 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 52 585.55₸ · invest 155 594.75₸
profit on prices without salesat least −154 054 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 2 outcomes

More

How to build